Earthquake YES Holds 87.5% After Post-Peak Dip; USGS at Nine Events
Polymarket's earthquake YES contract sat at 87.5% at 19:02 UTC Friday after USGS confirmed nine qualifying M5.5+ events and the contract whipsawed from a 0.93 session peak to 0.755 before recovering.
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Polymarket's contract on more than nine magnitude-5.5-or-greater earthquakes worldwide from June 15–21 traded at 87.5% at 19:02 UTC Friday — up 40 points from Thursday evening's 0.475 open — with USGS confirming nine qualifying events and the market one tremor from YES resolution with roughly 57 hours on the clock. As Orakll tracked Tuesday when an M6+ pair fired an 83.5% spike, the count had since retreated; Friday's fresh tremors reversed the range.
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