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9 results for “earthquakes”
The Polymarket exactly-4 M6.5+ earthquake bracket climbed to 63.25% at 00:24 UTC Saturday, up 32.1 percentage points in 24 hours, as a Philippines quake appeared to claim the resolution window's fourth qualifying slot.
Filed June 27, 2026
Venezuela's M7.2-M7.5 doublet fires the exactly-10 M7+ bracket 71.1pp to 76% as of 13:54 UTC Thursday, with five days to June 30 resolution.
Filed June 25, 2026
The 11-earthquake YES bracket holds at 43% as of 08:30 UTC Thursday, up 29pp from 24 hours ago, after twin Venezuelan shocks drove a 76% overnight high before a volatile descent.
Filed June 25, 2026
The 11+ M5.5+ earthquake bracket for June 22–28 sits at 42% as of 02:16 UTC Thursday, up 27.5 points after Venezuela's M7.5/M7.2 doublet confirmed four seismic events.
Filed June 25, 2026
Venezuela's M7.2 and M7.5 appear to have pushed the USGS M7+ running tally to 10, firing the exactly-10 bracket to 76% at 01:21 UTC Thursday.
Filed June 25, 2026
The exactly-nine M7.0+ earthquake market priced at 35% at 20:42 UTC Wednesday—up 7 points on the day—with six confirmed 2026 major quakes and six days to resolution.
Filed June 24, 2026
Polymarket's earthquake YES contract sat at 87.5% at 19:02 UTC Friday after USGS confirmed nine qualifying M5.5+ events and the contract whipsawed from a 0.93 session peak to 0.755 before recovering.
Filed June 19, 2026
The June 15-21 earthquake count market sits at 62.5% YES at 05:40 UTC Wednesday, driven up 9.5pp by back-to-back M6+ quakes in Indonesia and China.
Filed June 17, 2026
Three major quakes in the first hours of the June 15–21 window spiked YES to an 83.5% peak; it sits at 63.5% Wednesday.
Filed June 17, 2026