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18 results for “prediction-market”
Ethereum's June 26 $1,600 threshold market is priced at 26% YES as of 22:16 UTC Thursday — 36 points off the 24-hour open — with fewer than 18 hours to Binance's noon-ET close.
Filed June 26, 2026
The exactly-nine M7.0+ earthquake market priced at 35% at 20:42 UTC Wednesday—up 7 points on the day—with six confirmed 2026 major quakes and six days to resolution.
Filed June 24, 2026
Elon Musk's 220-239 post bracket reached a session-high 36% at 19:06 UTC Wednesday, up 17 percentage points from Tuesday's open, with 45 hours to Friday's noon-ET close.
Filed June 24, 2026
The Polymarket contract hit 86.55% at 13:30 UTC Wednesday, up 85.2pp from its 1.35% session open, with noon ET resolution hours away.
Filed June 24, 2026
Elon Musk's 90-114 tweet bracket priced at 52.35% as of 19:39 UTC Tuesday — up 49.3 percentage points from a 3.05% open — after MuskMeter logged 75 posts in the last 24 hours.
Filed June 23, 2026
Elon Musk's 40–64 tweet bracket stands at 89.5% as of 08:43 UTC Monday, up 19pp from 70.5% at the same hour Sunday with resolution seven hours away.
Filed June 22, 2026
Bitcoin's June-22 $64k YES contract holds at 58.5% as of Sunday 19:59 UTC—up 10pp on the day—with spot BTC at $64,145 just $145 above Monday's noon-ET settlement bar.
Filed June 21, 2026
The June 15-21 earthquake count market sits at 62.5% YES at 05:40 UTC Wednesday, driven up 9.5pp by back-to-back M6+ quakes in Indonesia and China.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's uranium enrichment-end contract sits at 39.5% as of 19:40 UTC Tuesday, with the full deal text unreleased and zero enrichment explicitly ruled out by Tehran's own officials.
Filed June 16, 2026
Bitcoin DOWN at 87.5% as of 12:09 UTC Tuesday—four hours from settlement—after dual 94.5% peaks at 03:13 and 04:51 UTC as Warsh's first FOMC caps the Iran-deal rally reversal.
Filed June 16, 2026
The U.S. measles-threshold contract trades at 46.5% as of 11:03 UTC Monday, down 14.5 points from Sunday, with 77 confirmed cases still needed before the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 13 Bitcoin Up or Down contract reached 95.5% YES at 13:12 UTC Saturday, up 46pp on the day, as BTC spot at $64,141 cleared Friday's noon reference level.
Filed June 13, 2026
The measles-2150 contract trades at 71.5% as of 01:46 UTC Saturday, up 28.5pp on the day, after CDC confirmed 2,073 U.S. cases — just 77 short of the resolution threshold.
Filed June 13, 2026
The US alien-confirmation contract sits at 14.5% Sunday morning — flat to its 24-hour open — as two PURSUE document batches have failed to clear the definitive-statement threshold the market requires for resolution.
Filed June 7, 2026
At 77.5% at 07:31 UTC Friday, the contract is 13pp above its session open after Mt. Gox moved $739M to a new wallet and separately routed 116.3 BTC to Bitstamp.
Filed June 5, 2026
Polymarket prices the 240-259 tweet-count bin at 29.35% at 09:29 UTC May 26, up 11.65pp on $335k of 24h volume.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket traders moved $1.08M through the Thunder-Spurs contract in 24 hours, yet the line still prices Oklahoma City at 45.5% Friday afternoon.
Filed May 22, 2026
The contract paying out if Strait of Hormuz shipping normalizes by May 31 last traded at 5.45%, down 3.65 points over 24 hours.
Filed May 22, 2026