Every story is a market. Every market has a price.
8 results for “Iran ceasefire”
At 21.5% as of 04:03 UTC Tuesday, the June-end Hormuz recovery contract has shed 6pp in 24 hours, pricing a structural logistics collapse that a ceasefire alone cannot fix.
Filed 10h ago
The July-31 Hormuz traffic-normalization contract sits at 48.5% as of 13:05 UTC Sunday, down 7 points from its 0.555 session open as the May MOU deadline expires unsigned.
Filed 2d ago
As of 12:43 UTC May 30, the May-31 US–Iran ceasefire-extension contract hit 12.5¢—its 24-hour floor, down 14pp—as Trump stalls on approving the tentative 60-day MOU with the deadline 39 hours out.
Filed 3d ago
The May 31 ceasefire-extension contract fell to 16.5% on May 28, shedding 25 points after Trump ruled out sanctions relief for Iran.
Filed 5d ago
Polymarket's May 31 Iran ceasefire-extension contract trades at 39.5% as of 08:27 UTC Tuesday, down 12.5pp from yesterday's 52% framework-post close.
Filed May 26, 2026
The contract on a US-announced Iran ceasefire extension by tonight's 11:59 PM ET deadline trades at 8.5% as of 05:17 UTC May 26, down 7 points on $635k of 24h volume.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket's May 31 US–Iran ceasefire-extension contract jumped +14.5pp in 24 hours to 52% by 20:58 UTC May 25 on $509k of volume.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket's May 31 US-Iran ceasefire-extension market sits at 33.5% as of 05:58 UTC May 25, after a one-day collapse of 41.5 points.
Filed May 25, 2026