Every story is a market. Every market has a price.
30 results for “AI”
Anthropic's IPO-first contract sits at 78¢ Tuesday, off its 88.5¢ peak, after the confidential filing sparked a 53.5-point surge from 24.5¢.
Filed 3h ago
The June 7 permanent peace-deal contract eased to 5.5% Tuesday as Trump withholds MOU approval and the deadline sits five days out.
Filed 3h ago
The June 7 Iran deal contract sits at 6% Tuesday as Trump's third MOU revision awaits Iranian sign-off with five days until the Sunday deadline.
Filed 5h ago
June Hormuz recovery holds at 21.5% Tuesday morning: eight-times pre-crisis insurance and 232 stranded vessels price what diplomacy alone cannot fix.
Filed 6h ago
The June-end Hormuz recovery contract stands at 21.5% on Tuesday, down 5pp on the day, as daily transit calls sit at just 4% of the pre-crisis baseline with 28 days left.
Filed 8h ago
The Hormuz June-recovery contract holds at 21.5% as of 05:19 UTC Tuesday, steady from a 15.5¢ session floor, as operators await durable peace.
Filed 9h ago
At 21.5% as of 04:03 UTC Tuesday, the June-end Hormuz recovery contract has shed 6pp in 24 hours, pricing a structural logistics collapse that a ceasefire alone cannot fix.
Filed 10h ago
The 'who lists first' contract sits at 86% Anthropic as of 03:57 UTC Tuesday, up 61.5pp in 24 hours on the confidential S-1 filing.
Filed 11h ago
At 21.5% at 02:55 UTC Tuesday, the June-end Hormuz recovery market prices a 15x shipping gap ceasefire diplomacy alone cannot close.
Filed 12h ago
June Hormuz recovery at 21.5% as of 02:00 UTC Tuesday, down 6 points, as a physical shipping bottleneck offsets ceasefire momentum.
Filed 12h ago
'Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?' hit 80.5% as of 01:54 UTC Tuesday after Anthropic confidentially filed for an IPO following its $65B Series H.
Filed 13h ago
The US-Iran permanent peace deal by June 7 contract sits at 5.5% as of 01:21 UTC Tuesday, down 3pp on the 24-hour session, as Trump's sign-off on the May 28 MOU remains pending.
Filed 13h ago
The June-end Strait of Hormuz recovery contract sits at 22.5% late Monday, bounced from a 15.5¢ session floor, with traffic at 4% of pre-crisis levels leaving the IMF threshold unreachable.
Filed 15h ago
The Strait of Hormuz June-end recovery contract trades at 19.5% as of 22:56 UTC Monday, down 10 points on the day, as logistics barriers to shipping normalization persist despite the ceasefire holding.
Filed 16h ago
Matteo Arnaldi's Roland Garros contract climbed to 76.5% at 22:47 UTC Monday, up 28 points, as he broke to lead 4-3 in the deciding fifth set against Frances Tiafoe.
Filed 16h ago
Hormuz's July-31 recovery contract sits at 47.5% YES as of 22:51 UTC Sunday, with logistics bottlenecks persisting seven weeks into the ceasefire.
Filed 2d ago
The Spurs title contract sits at 63.95% as of 22:46 UTC Sunday, sustaining a +36.4pp surge after San Antonio's Game 7 road win clinched the Western Conference Finals.
Filed 2d ago
The July-31 Hormuz-recovery contract sat at 49% at 15:18 UTC Sunday — down 4.5pp — as ceasefire momentum fails to bridge the shipping-logistics gap.
Filed 2d ago
The July-31 Hormuz traffic-normalization contract sits at 48.5% as of 13:05 UTC Sunday, down 7 points from its 0.555 session open as the May MOU deadline expires unsigned.
Filed 2d ago
Shenzhen's 29°C bracket hit 89.2% at 08:32 UTC Sunday as the Bao'an Airport station read 86°F live, with Wunderground resolution due inside four hours.
Filed 2d ago
The A24 horror contract hit a 24-hour low of 68.2% on Saturday-multiplier uncertainty before bouncing to 84.75% at 08:50 UTC Sunday as Deadline projects an $85M–$88M opening weekend.
Filed 2d ago
Shenzhen's 29°C contract hit 78.45% at 07:54 UTC Sunday as live Wunderground data confirmed 85°F at Bao'an Airport, hours before noon-UTC resolution.
Filed 2d ago
The July-31 Hormuz recovery contract prints 47.5% as of 05:56 UTC Sunday — down 9 points in 24 hours despite a tentative ceasefire MOU.
Filed 2d ago
July-31 Hormuz recovery at 47% YES on Sunday — down 10.5pp as the May ceasefire expires unsigned and mine-clearing timelines bite.
Filed 2d ago
The Hormuz blockade-lift market prices at 12.5% as of 17:13 UTC Saturday, down 61pp in 24 hours on $1.24M, with roughly 35 hours left before the May 31 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed 3d ago
The Strait of Hormuz June-end recovery market has declined to 33.5% as of 12:03 UTC May 30, down 4pp on the day, as traders price de-escalation and logistical normalization on entirely separate timelines.
Filed 3d ago
The YES contract on Backrooms' opening weekend exceeding $79M sits at 85.6% as of 10:54 UTC May 30, down 4.9pp in 24 hours after Deadline's $76M–$79M projection bracketed the resolution threshold.
Filed 3d ago
The blockade-lift contract collapsed to 18% as of 04:43 UTC Friday as Iran rejected Trump's conditions and NAVCENT kept the blockade active.
Filed 3d ago
The May-31 US-Iran permanent-peace contract slid to a 6.5% session floor before recovering to 8.5% as of 19:29 UTC Friday, with the 60-day MOU awaiting Trump's approval explicitly failing the permanent-deal resolution bar even if signed.
Filed 4d ago
The Hormuz blockade-lift contract sits at 52% as of 18:27 UTC Friday — up 24.5 points on the day but retracing sharply from an 86-cent intraday peak.
Filed 4d ago