Six-Month Mine Backlog and 4,000× Insurance Wall Pin Hormuz June Contract at 15.5%
The Hormuz June-end recovery contract holds at 15.5% Saturday morning—down 4pp from Friday's open—as uncleared mines and prohibitive war-risk premiums outlast ceasefire gains.
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The Strait of Hormuz June-end recovery contract is priced at 15.5% as of 06:40 UTC Saturday — down 4pp from its 19.5% session open and below the 16.5% level Orakll tracked on June 4 — as ceasefire diplomacy stalls against physical and financial barriers the political calendar cannot override. The contract resolves YES only if IMF Portwatch records a 7-day moving average of Hormuz transit calls at or above 60 by June 30, 2026.
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