Hormuz Blockade-Lift Retraces to 52¢ After 86-Cent Spike on Trump Post
The Hormuz blockade-lift contract sits at 52% as of 18:27 UTC Friday — up 24.5 points on the day but retracing sharply from an 86-cent intraday peak.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-may-31-2026-313-388-459-589-533
- Condition
- 0x8b369e10358094a99ffe7f85a81a8e8ca68c611eee0fe63a2efa790ad045bcd6
The Polymarket contract on Trump officially announcing the U.S. Strait of Hormuz blockade has been lifted retreated to 52% as of 18:27 UTC Friday — still up 24.5 points on the day — after an intraday round-trip from a 14.5-cent session floor to an 86-cent peak and back. Traders on $1.76M of fresh 24h volume are now splitting on whether Trump's Truth Social signal constitutes a qualifying announcement under the resolution criteria before the May 31 deadline.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Start a 7-day free trial to read on.
Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Four search tools.
Read next
Politics June 7 Iran Peace Deal Holds at 11.5% as Trump Withholds MOU Sign-Off
The June 7 permanent-peace contract sits at 11.5% as of 12:11 UTC Sunday, down 2 points over 24 hours on $716k in volume.
6¢implied——Filed 2d ago
Politics US-Iran 60-Day MOU Spikes Ceasefire Contract to 41.5%
At 41.5% as of 17:14 UTC, the May 31 ceasefire-extension contract rebounds 29pp off its floor after US-Iran negotiators confirmed a 60-day MOU pending Trump's approval.
