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7 results for “blockade”
The end-of-June Hormuz traffic contract holds at 15.5% as of 03:19 UTC Thursday, down 5pp on the day, with mine-clearance timelines and naval blockade routing pricing out a June normalization.
Filed June 4, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June recovery contract held at 15.5% at 01:06 UTC Thursday, as commercial transit counts remain far below the 60-vessel resolution threshold.
Filed June 4, 2026
The Hormuz blockade-lift market prices at 12.5% as of 17:13 UTC Saturday, down 61pp in 24 hours on $1.24M, with roughly 35 hours left before the May 31 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed May 30, 2026
The blockade-lift contract collapsed to 18% as of 04:43 UTC Friday as Iran rejected Trump's conditions and NAVCENT kept the blockade active.
Filed May 30, 2026
The Hormuz blockade-lift contract sits at 52% as of 18:27 UTC Friday — up 24.5 points on the day but retracing sharply from an 86-cent intraday peak.
Filed May 29, 2026
Hormuz blockade-lift contract sits at 69.5¢ at 15:39 UTC Friday, up 45.5pp on the day, after Trump posted to Truth Social the U.S. blockade 'will now be lifted.'
Filed May 29, 2026
Polymarket prices Trump's odds of declaring the Hormuz blockade lifted by May 31 at 27.5% as of May 25, down 37.5 points overnight.
Filed May 25, 2026