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21 results for “us-iran”
The June 7 permanent peace-deal contract eased to 5.5% Tuesday as Trump withholds MOU approval and the deadline sits five days out.
Filed 3h ago
At 5.5% as of 03:09 UTC Tuesday, the June 7 permanent-peace contract prices 1-in-18 odds as Trump's latest edits circle back to Tehran unsigned.
Filed 11h ago
The US-Iran permanent peace deal by June 7 contract sits at 5.5% as of 01:21 UTC Tuesday, down 3pp on the 24-hour session, as Trump's sign-off on the May 28 MOU remains pending.
Filed 13h ago
The US-Iran June 7 permanent peace-deal contract sits at 7.5% early Monday, down 5pp in 24 hours on $1.26M volume, as Trump withholds MOU sign-off.
Filed 1d ago
The June 7 permanent-peace contract sits at 11.5% as of 12:11 UTC Sunday, down 2 points over 24 hours on $716k in volume.
Filed 2d ago
The blockade-lift contract collapsed to 18% as of 04:43 UTC Friday as Iran rejected Trump's conditions and NAVCENT kept the blockade active.
Filed 3d ago
The May-31 US-Iran permanent-peace contract slid to a 6.5% session floor before recovering to 8.5% as of 19:29 UTC Friday, with the 60-day MOU awaiting Trump's approval explicitly failing the permanent-deal resolution bar even if signed.
Filed 4d ago
The US-Iran treaty contract hit a 24-hour low of 6.5% at 14:42 UTC Friday and bounced to 13.5%, still 11 points below the ceasefire-extension sibling at 24.5%.
Filed 4d ago
Ceasefire-extension contract at 25% on May 29, up 11.5pp in 24 hours, as negotiators' tentative 60-day MOU awaits Trump's final approval.
Filed 4d ago
May 31 US-Iran peace-deal market hits 9.5% Friday as Trump withholds MOU sign-off and $5.6M cycles through the 24-hour window.
Filed 4d ago
At 31.5% as of 01:07 UTC May 29 — up +7pp in 24 hours on $873,594 of volume — the ceasefire-extension-by-May-31 contract holds post-MOU residual as Trump's approval awaits.
Filed 5d ago
At 18:14 UTC on May 28, the permanent peace deal contract sits at 15.5% — 24.5 points below the ceasefire-extension market as traders price the gap between pause and treaty.
Filed 5d ago
At 41.5% as of 17:14 UTC, the May 31 ceasefire-extension contract rebounds 29pp off its floor after US-Iran negotiators confirmed a 60-day MOU pending Trump's approval.
Filed 5d ago
The May 31 ceasefire-extension contract fell to 16.5% on May 28, shedding 25 points after Trump ruled out sanctions relief for Iran.
Filed 5d ago
The May 31 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract fell to 7.5% at 11:17 UTC Thursday, down 12 points in 24 hours on $7.60M of volume.
Filed 5d ago
Polymarket's May 31 US-Iran permanent-peace deal contract printed 13.5% at 00:07 UTC Thursday, down 10pp in 24h on $6.64M of volume.
Filed 6d ago
PPC's tracker has the June 7 US-Iran permanent-peace contract at 40.5% as of 04:15 UTC May 26 — up 8 points in 24 hours on $327k of volume.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket's June 15 US-Iran peace-deal market sits at 53.5% Monday afternoon, up 8 points in 24 hours after Rubio signaled a 60-day framework.
Filed May 25, 2026
Seven US-Iran contracts moved opposite directions on May 25, 2026 — the ceasefire was bid to 91.5% while the May 31 treaty market wrote itself off at 30.5%, a 61-point gap.
Filed May 25, 2026
Polymarket's May 31 US-Iran ceasefire-extension market sits at 33.5% as of 05:58 UTC May 25, after a one-day collapse of 41.5 points.
Filed May 25, 2026
Polymarket put a permanent US-Iran deal by May 31 at 23.5% Sunday afternoon, down 40 points in 24 hours on $5.24M of volume.
Filed May 25, 2026