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17 results for “prediction markets”
Bitcoin's $60k-dip contract priced YES at 42% as of 15:08 UTC Tuesday, up 27pp in 24 hours, as a post-FOMC liquidation cascade pushes BTC through $64,000 support.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Hormuz July 31 recovery contract trades at 49.5% as of 19:22 UTC Monday, up 9pp from the session open, after a 51.5% session high faded on mine-clearance math.
Filed June 22, 2026
At 7.5% as of 2026-06-21T05:22 UTC, the Hormuz June 30 normalization contract prices near-certain failure — a six-month mine-clearance clock is overriding a signed US-Iran memorandum of understanding with nine days to the deadline.
Filed June 21, 2026
Polymarket prices the Iran accord text-release at 29.5% as of 13:17 UTC Wednesday after CNN published the 14-point draft but the White House and Tehran both disputed its authenticity.
Filed June 17, 2026
Argentina's World Cup YES contract holds at 9.65% at 21:12 UTC Tuesday — up 1.3pp from Monday's open — as Messi and key squad members are confirmed fit for tonight's World Cup debut against Algeria.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Hormuz June YES contract sat at 18.5% at 09:47 UTC Tuesday, down 11 percentage points in 24 hours as mine-clearance timelines and insurance barriers override Iran's peace accord.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery contract trades at 22.5% at 17:27 UTC Monday as 40-50 day mine-clearance timelines block any June 30 resolution.
Filed June 15, 2026
Hormuz recovery odds stand at 22.5% at 15:27 UTC Friday, 7pp above a 15.5% mid-session mark and 16pp above the 6.5% session open.
Filed June 12, 2026
Elon Musk's 200-219 tweet bracket priced 53.5% Thursday, up 27 points in 24 hours, as the June 12 window close looms 38 hours away.
Filed June 11, 2026
The 40-64 tweet bracket sits at 56% as of 05:52 UTC Wednesday, up 12.5 points from Tuesday's open, with 10 hours until the noon ET resolution.
Filed June 10, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract held at 9.5% as of 19:42 UTC on June 9, with intraday bounces to 11.5% and 10.5% both faded as war-risk insurance at 4,000× pre-crisis levels keeps physical recovery out of reach.
Filed June 9, 2026
The Spurs climbed to 37.25% on Tuesday after Wembanyama's 32-point road win at MSG trimmed New York's 2026 Finals lead to 2-1.
Filed June 9, 2026
Chong Won-oh's Seoul odds hit 3.25% as of 22:19 UTC Wednesday — 95pp below the session high — as the market prices Oh Se-hoon winning.
Filed June 4, 2026
At 21.5% at 02:55 UTC Tuesday, the June-end Hormuz recovery market prices a 15x shipping gap ceasefire diplomacy alone cannot close.
Filed June 2, 2026
The 140-159 bracket sits at 67.2% as of 23:48 UTC Monday, up +24pp on the day with the June 2 noon ET deadline roughly 16 hours away.
Filed June 2, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-end recovery contract trades at 19.5% as of 22:56 UTC Monday, down 10 points on the day, as logistics barriers to shipping normalization persist despite the ceasefire holding.
Filed June 2, 2026
The May $72,500 dip contract sits at 11% as of 09:52 UTC Sunday, down 20.5pp in 24 hours, as Bitcoin trades near $73,800 — $1,300 above the strike.
Filed May 31, 2026