Quant Dashboard for Traders, MCP for Agents.
30 results for “peace-deal”
The Israel x Iran June 30 peace market is at 14.15% Wednesday afternoon, down 1.75pp on the session, as Lebanon withdrawal deadlock blocks any bilateral deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Israel-Iran peace-deal contract fell to 11.4% at 09:24 UTC Wednesday, down 3.25 points in 24 hours as Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon block the bilateral track.
Filed June 17, 2026
At 43.5% as of 15:22 UTC Tuesday, the Iran enrichment-end contract sits 55.75 points beneath the 99.25% US-Iran peace-deal market—with the deal's unreleased text leaving the key nuclear-compliance clause unconfirmed.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery YES contract is at 17.5% as of 09:06 UTC Tuesday—down 12pp in 24 hours—with mine-clearance timelines of up to six months and 1–4% per-transit insurance premiums locking out a June resolution.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran June 30 peace market sits at 11.85% as of 05:00 UTC Tuesday, 86.8 percentage points below the US-Iran accord at 98.65%, as Trump's deal explicitly excludes bilateral normalization with Tel Aviv.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 sits at 10.05% as of 00:34 UTC Tuesday — down 14.25pp in 24 hours — as Trump's completion of the bilateral US-Iran accord confirmed Israel was never at the negotiating table.
Filed June 16, 2026
Trump's 'deal complete' declaration pushed the June-15 YES contract to 94.95% as of 23:20 UTC Monday — still 5pp from par with fewer than five hours to Polymarket's 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Iran-US June-15 peace-deal contract sits at 94.1% as of 22:18 UTC Monday, up 16.2 percentage points in 24 hours, after Iran's SNSC confirmed the MOU and a Geneva signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 US–Iran peace contract sits at 94% as of 22:03 UTC Monday, up 19.7pp after Trump and Ghalibaf signed an MOU.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 Iran deal contract sits at 94.8% as of 17:07 UTC Monday — up 74pp in 24 hours as Trump posted on Truth Social that the deal is 'complete' — with a 5pp adjudication gap tied to the June 19 formal signing.
Filed June 15, 2026
The US-Iran June 15 peace-deal contract climbed to 93.9% at 15:04 UTC Monday — up from 11.25% at the session open — with Trump declaring the accord 'complete' and less than 13 hours to the 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace-deal contract stands at 86.85% as of 09:47 UTC Monday, up 63pp in 24 hours after Trump declared the accord complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
At 93.5% as of 09:19 UTC Monday, the June-30 US–Iran deal contract has surged 43 points in 24 hours on Trump's deal-complete declaration.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract sits at 93.5% at 04:39 UTC Monday — up 44pp in 24 hours — as the June-15 deadline passes and a Switzerland signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran peace deal contract prices at 93.5% at 04:09 UTC Monday, up 43 points from Sunday's open after Pakistan confirmed a finalized MOU.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 92.5% as of 02:53 UTC Monday, up 45 points in 24 hours, as a confirmed June 19 Switzerland signing ceremony makes the June 30 resolution window near-mechanical.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal contract is at 80.25% as of 01:48 UTC Monday after a 55.6-point surge in 24 hours.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 Iran deal contract hit 89.5% at 22:54 UTC Sunday as Trump declared the agreement complete and Pakistan's PM confirmed a June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland.
Filed June 15, 2026
June-30 US-Iran peace contract reached 54.5% at 20:48 UTC Sunday, 31 points above the Monday-deadline variant on heavy block buying.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal trades at 17.85% as of 20:17 UTC Sunday, down 8.55 points from open, with Khamenei approval absent.
Filed June 14, 2026
Iran's FM contradicted Trump's Sunday signing timeline; the June-15 permanent peace deal contract was at 20.9% at 17:11 UTC Sunday, down 16.9pp in 24 hours.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 15 US–Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 16.1% as of 16:10 UTC Sunday — down 13.7 percentage points in 24 hours — as Iran's FM publicly rejected Trump's Sunday signing pledge and the deadline approached unsigned.
Filed June 14, 2026
At 11.85% as of 13:33 UTC Sunday, the June-15 Iran deal is down 14.7 points from its morning peak as Khamenei's approval gap deepens.
Filed June 14, 2026
Iran's 440kg uranium stockpile and Khamenei's public silence hold the June 30 US-Iran peace deal at 50% as of 08:23 UTC Sunday.
Filed June 14, 2026
The US-Iran June-15 peace deal contract held at 25.55% at 01:44 UTC Sunday — up 9.4pp in 24 hours — as Trump's signing claim collides with Tehran's pushback ahead of Monday's deadline.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 peace deal contract sits at 23.95% as of 00:30 UTC Sunday — 24.55pp below its June-30 twin — as Khamenei's approval blocks a Monday close.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal trades at 24.45% as of 00:13 UTC Sunday, up roughly 7pp on the session but 14pp off its 38.5% sampled peak, as Iran's Supreme Leader has yet to authorize a Geneva signing ceremony.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 Iran peace-deal contract sits at 26.95% at 21:05 UTC Saturday, up 12.4pp from the 14.55% session open, as Trump's Truth Social signing pledge meets FM Baghaei's flat rejection.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal sits at 26.4% as of 20:18 UTC Saturday—up 9.4pp on the day after Iran's FM rejected a Sunday Geneva signing and reaffirmed uranium enrichment demands.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace-deal contract is at 27.25% at 19:01 UTC Saturday, retreating from a 36.55% sampled session high after Tehran's foreign ministry ruled out a Sunday signing.
Filed June 13, 2026