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6 results for “monetary policy”
The July 2026 Fed 25bps-hike contract priced at 26.95% at 07:17 UTC Friday, up 7.4pp after Kevin Warsh's hawkish first FOMC meeting removed the easing bias.
Filed June 19, 2026
The Polymarket contract pricing a July Fed hold sits at 71.5% as of 05:33 UTC Friday, down 8pp in 24 hours after nine FOMC officials signaled continued rate hikes.
Filed June 19, 2026
The Fed rate-hike YES contract reached 57% as of 19:53 UTC Wednesday, up 28.5pp from the session's 0.285 floor, after Warsh's debut dot plot showed 9 of 18 officials backing at least one 2026 hike.
Filed June 17, 2026
The December 2026 Fed rate-hike contract climbed 4 points overnight to 35.5% on Tuesday as Warsh's first FOMC meeting opens against elevated inflation expectations.
Filed June 16, 2026
The zero-cuts-in-2026 contract holds at 80.95% as of 04:25 UTC Sunday, up 3.9pp from the session open after May's 172,000-job payrolls blowout.
Filed June 7, 2026
The zero-cuts contract holds at 80.95% as of 23:28 UTC Saturday, off a 83.05% session peak driven by May's 172,000-job blowout.
Filed June 7, 2026