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8 results for “escalation”
Hormuz recovery odds tripled to 20.5% Thursday as US airstrikes on Iran opened a forced-normalization path that diplomacy alone couldn't price in.
Filed June 12, 2026
The U.S.-Iran invasion contract reached 25.5% at 17:28 UTC Thursday, up 8 percentage points on day-103 Apache-escalation buying.
Filed June 11, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract reached 20% as of 16:17 UTC Wednesday — up from a 12.5% morning trough — as Iran's unresolved Lebanon-clause threat anchors residual escalation risk through June 15.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract hits 16.5% on Wednesday, up 6.5 points in 24 hours, as Iran's Lebanon condition keeps June 15 escalation risk alive.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's June 15 airspace-closure contract trades at 13.5% as of 06:07 UTC Wednesday, well off a June 9 session peak of 23.5%.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's June-15 airspace-closure contract stands at 49% as of 10:09 UTC Monday, up 42.5pp overnight, after Iran's missile barrage shatters the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
The Israel airspace closure contract climbed to 54.5% Monday as Iran's 'Operation Nasr' barrages and Israeli counterstrikes on central Iran fracture the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-end recovery market has declined to 33.5% as of 12:03 UTC May 30, down 4pp on the day, as traders price de-escalation and logistical normalization on entirely separate timelines.
Filed May 30, 2026