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28 results for “enrichment”
The US-Iran final-deal market clawed back to 23.5% Wednesday on YES dip buying off a 22.5% session low, as the enrichment stalemate persists.
Filed June 24, 2026
US-Iran August 31 nuclear deal market hit session-low 22.5% as of 17:45 UTC Wednesday, down 5pp as enrichment-duration disputes persist.
Filed June 24, 2026
The US-Iran final nuclear deal market sits at 22.5% as of 12:30 UTC Wednesday, down 6 percentage points in 24 hours on widening enrichment impasses.
Filed June 24, 2026
Iran's 'end all enrichment by June 30' contract is at 4.5% as of 17:39 UTC Saturday, down 38pp in 24 hours, as the signed US-Iran memorandum of understanding commits only to downblending — not the formal zero-enrichment pledge the contract requires.
Filed June 20, 2026
Iran's July 31 enrichment-halt contract sits at 13.5% Saturday, down 39 points in 24 hours, as the signed US-Iran MOU mandates downblending — not a centrifuge halt.
Filed June 20, 2026
Iran's zero-enrichment pledge sits at 5.5% Saturday morning, down 49 percentage points in 24 hours after the June 18 US-Iran MOU committed to stockpile downblending only, not ending enrichment.
Filed June 20, 2026
Iran's uranium-enrichment-end contract sits at 5.5% as of 07:14 UTC Saturday — down from a 0.595 session high — after the published MoU committed only to downblending stockpiled material, not to ending enrichment.
Filed June 20, 2026
Iran's enrichment-end market fell to 19.5% at 20:56 UTC Friday, down 44 points in 24 hours as the MOU locked in dilution not elimination.
Filed June 20, 2026
Iran's enrichment-end contract is at 23.5% as of 20:06 UTC Friday, down 31 points from Thursday's 0.545 open, as the June 18 MOU commits Tehran to downblending — not cessation — of its enriched stockpile.
Filed June 19, 2026
Iran's uranium-enrichment-end contract was at 46.5% as of 12:33 UTC Friday, down 13 points from its 24-hour open, as the signed MOU's downblending language falls short of the YES resolution threshold.
Filed June 19, 2026
The uranium-enrichment compliance market priced at 69% at 02:17 UTC Friday as the signed US-Iran MOU requires only stockpile downblending — no formal zero-enrichment pledge.
Filed June 19, 2026
Iran's zero-enrichment compliance contract dropped to 45.5% as of 15:10 UTC Wednesday, now 54 points below the 99.85% US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's uranium-enrichment compliance contract sits at 53.5% as of 14:28 UTC Wednesday, up 7.5 points in 24 hours, as the US-Iran MOU defers all enrichment specifics to the 60-day negotiation window ahead.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's enrichment-end contract hit 56.5% at 12:00 UTC Wednesday, up 17 points on the session, still 43.35pp below the near-certain US-Iran peace deal at 99.85%.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's enrichment-compliance contract priced at 47.5% at 10:08 UTC Wednesday, 52.35 points below the US-Iran peace deal at 99.85%, as the framework explicitly allows enrichment to continue for nonmilitary purposes.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's enrichment compliance market prints at 49.5% as of 08:10 UTC Wednesday, June 17—50 points below the 99.85% US-Iran peace framework—pricing a precise gap between deal-signed and pledge-made.
Filed June 17, 2026
The 'Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment?' contract sits at 17.35% as of 07:45 UTC Wednesday, down 9.15pp on the session, as the US-Iran deal crystallises around a 15-year suspension rather than US consent to continued enrichment.
Filed June 17, 2026
Polymarket's Iran enrichment-end contract is at 59.5% Wednesday morning—40 percentage points below the US-Iran peace deal now priced at 99.95%.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's uranium-enrichment market sits at 51.5% as of 03:34 UTC Wednesday — up 23 points in 24 hours — on Trump's enrichment-suspension claim.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's uranium enrichment-end contract sits at 39.5% as of 19:40 UTC Tuesday, with the full deal text unreleased and zero enrichment explicitly ruled out by Tehran's own officials.
Filed June 16, 2026
At 43.5% as of 15:22 UTC Tuesday, the Iran enrichment-end contract sits 55.75 points beneath the 99.25% US-Iran peace-deal market—with the deal's unreleased text leaving the key nuclear-compliance clause unconfirmed.
Filed June 16, 2026
Iran's enrichment-halt market reached 39.5% at 06:48 UTC Tuesday, up 7pp in 24 hours, as the June 15 accord defers nuclear specifics to a follow-on negotiating round.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 peace deal contract sits at 23.95% as of 00:30 UTC Sunday — 24.55pp below its June-30 twin — as Khamenei's approval blocks a Monday close.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal sits at 26.4% as of 20:18 UTC Saturday—up 9.4pp on the day after Iran's FM rejected a Sunday Geneva signing and reaffirmed uranium enrichment demands.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace-deal contract trades at 28.5% Friday, having surged 29pp from Thursday's 15.5% open before the uranium enrichment sticking point dragged it back.
Filed June 12, 2026
The US-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 contract sits at 17.5% as of 11:42 UTC Thursday, recovering from a 0.135 min_price that was retested four times between 19:27 and 23:06 UTC Wednesday before a morning jump.
Filed June 11, 2026
At 5.5% as of 03:09 UTC Monday, the June-15 US-Iran peace-deal contract has retreated from an overnight high of 8.5% as uranium talks stall.
Filed June 8, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract holds at 13.5% as of 01:26 UTC Friday, trapped in a 0.125–0.155 session range as Trump's MOU remains unsigned and enrichment talks deadlock.
Filed June 5, 2026