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18 results for “US-Iran deal”
The uranium-enrichment compliance market priced at 69% at 02:17 UTC Friday as the signed US-Iran MOU requires only stockpile downblending — no formal zero-enrichment pledge.
Filed June 19, 2026
Iran's zero-enrichment compliance contract dropped to 45.5% as of 15:10 UTC Wednesday, now 54 points below the 99.85% US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Polymarket prices the Iran accord text-release at 29.5% as of 13:17 UTC Wednesday after CNN published the 14-point draft but the White House and Tehran both disputed its authenticity.
Filed June 17, 2026
The 'Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment?' contract sits at 17.35% as of 07:45 UTC Wednesday, down 9.15pp on the session, as the US-Iran deal crystallises around a 15-year suspension rather than US consent to continued enrichment.
Filed June 17, 2026
Trump's 'deal complete' declaration pushed the June-15 YES contract to 94.95% as of 23:20 UTC Monday — still 5pp from par with fewer than five hours to Polymarket's 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 US–Iran peace contract sits at 94% as of 22:03 UTC Monday, up 19.7pp after Trump and Ghalibaf signed an MOU.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 Iran deal contract sits at 94.8% as of 17:07 UTC Monday — up 74pp in 24 hours as Trump posted on Truth Social that the deal is 'complete' — with a 5pp adjudication gap tied to the June 19 formal signing.
Filed June 15, 2026
Bitcoin's $67.5K June contract priced at 70.5% at 02:35 UTC Monday, up 14 points after Trump declared the US-Iran deal complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 Iran deal contract hit 89.5% at 22:54 UTC Sunday as Trump declared the agreement complete and Pakistan's PM confirmed a June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal trades at 17.85% as of 20:17 UTC Sunday, down 8.55 points from open, with Khamenei approval absent.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 14 ceasefire-extension market stands at 32% at 09:55 UTC Sunday, down from a 43% morning high as Iran's FM rejects a same-day deal.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-30 US–Iran peace deal hit 55.5% Saturday after Trump's Sunday-signing promise drove a 67.5% session peak before Iran's FM denied the timeline.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 15 US-Iran peace deal is at 16.5% at 22:03 UTC Friday, off the 21.6% session high as Iran hedges on Pakistan's 'final text' claim.
Filed June 13, 2026
The US-Iran ceasefire-extension contract trades at 24.15% as of 01:40 UTC Friday, up nearly 20 points from its overnight open, after Trump declared a deal was effectively agreed and awaiting signature.
Filed June 12, 2026
The US-Iran June 30 permanent peace deal contract hit 31% Thursday, up 17.5pp on the session, as traders rotated from Monday's failing June 15 deadline to a longer negotiating runway.
Filed June 12, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace deal contract hit 36.5% Thursday — up 20pp on the day — as Trump's 'two or three days' window expires, lifting the June 15 companion to 18.85%.
Filed June 11, 2026
As of 2026-06-04T08:43:06 UTC, the June 15 Iran deal contract trades at 14.5% after a 48,034-share YES block; the June 7 sibling sits at 4.45%, leaving a 10.05pp spread.
Filed June 4, 2026
Polymarket put a permanent US-Iran deal by May 31 at 23.5% Sunday afternoon, down 40 points in 24 hours on $5.24M of volume.
Filed May 25, 2026