War-Risk Premiums at 8× Pin June Hormuz Recovery at 21.5%
June Hormuz recovery holds at 21.5% Tuesday morning: eight-times pre-crisis insurance and 232 stranded vessels price what diplomacy alone cannot fix.
The Market · LiveTrade ↗YES probability · 24h change
The Hormuz June-end recovery contract holds at 21.5% as of 08:27 UTC Tuesday, down 4 percentage points from a 0.255 open — as Orakll tracked through the morning — after the session touched a 0.155 floor before recovering. The diplomatic signal and the physical reality are not moving together.
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