June Hormuz Recovery at 22.5¢ as 4-Vessel Days Persist
The June-end Strait of Hormuz recovery contract sits at 22.5% late Monday, bounced from a 15.5¢ session floor, with traffic at 4% of pre-crisis levels leaving the IMF threshold unreachable.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
The June-end Strait of Hormuz normalization contract priced at 22.5¢ at 23:56 UTC Monday, recovering off a 15.5¢ session floor touched at 15:24 UTC but still well below the 28.5¢ session open. The contract resolves YES only if IMF Portwatch records a 7-day moving average of 60 or more transit calls before June 30 — a bar that looks increasingly distant with 29 days remaining. Monday's volume reached $766,177.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Economics Mine Backlog Outlasts Ceasefire; Hormuz Recovery Holds at 9.5%
Hormuz normalization trades at 9.5% as of 07:18 UTC Tuesday, June 9, having briefly touched 11.5% at 11:47 UTC Monday before sellers reasserted.
Filed June 9, 2026
Economics Hormuz June Contract Hits 18.5% Floor on Mine-Clearance Math
The Hormuz June contract hit 18.5% at 05:22 UTC Tuesday, down 11 points from Monday's 0.295 open, as a 40-to-50-day mine-clearance timeline makes the June 30 deadline unreachable.
Filed June 16, 2026
Economics Hormuz Recovery at 21.5% as Mine-Clearance Clock Caps Monday Peak
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract sits at 21.5% as of 19:23 UTC Monday, off a 35.5% session high; mine-clearance timelines and 8% war-risk premiums maintain the structural ceiling.