June Hormuz Recovery at 22.5¢ as 4-Vessel Days Persist
The June-end Strait of Hormuz recovery contract sits at 22.5% late Monday, bounced from a 15.5¢ session floor, with traffic at 4% of pre-crisis levels leaving the IMF threshold unreachable.
The June-end Strait of Hormuz normalization contract priced at 22.5¢ at 23:56 UTC Monday, recovering off a 15.5¢ session floor touched at 15:24 UTC but still well below the 28.5¢ session open. The contract resolves YES only if IMF Portwatch records a 7-day moving average of 60 or more transit calls before June 30 — a bar that looks increasingly distant with 29 days remaining. Monday's volume reached $766,177.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Start a 7-day free trial to read on.
Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Four search tools.
Read next
Economics Hormuz June-Recovery Contract Settles at 33.5¢ as Shipping Physics Override Diplomacy
The Strait of Hormuz June-end recovery market has declined to 33.5% as of 12:03 UTC May 30, down 4pp on the day, as traders price de-escalation and logistical normalization on entirely separate timelines.
22¢implied▼−3.0 ptsFiled 3d ago
Politics Hormuz June Recovery Slips to a Coinflip on Iran's Pushback
Polymarket put Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by June 30 at 47.5% at 21:51 UTC Sunday, down 15.5 points in 24 hours on $666k.