Iran Peace Deal Climbs to 16.35% After Overnight Floor Tests, Morning Buying
Polymarket's June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract trades at 16.35% as of 12:15 UTC Friday, up 11.75pp from its 4.6% session open on Trump's 60-day ceasefire extension.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
Polymarket's June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract, last covered at 13.65%, trades at 16.35% as of 12:15 UTC Friday — up 11.75pp from its 4.6% session open — with roughly 88 hours to Monday's resolution window.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics Trump Sunday Pledge, Iran Pushback Hold June-15 Deal at 25.55%
The US-Iran June-15 peace deal contract held at 25.55% at 01:44 UTC Sunday — up 9.4pp in 24 hours — as Trump's signing claim collides with Tehran's pushback ahead of Monday's deadline.
Filed June 14, 2026
Politics Trump's Strike Reversal Drives June-15 Iran Deal 7.75pp to 11.45%
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal stands at 11.45% as of 06:03 UTC Friday, up 7.75pp after Trump canceled planned airstrikes but Iran denied any approved deal text.
Filed June 12, 2026
Politics Trump Declares Iran Deal 'Complete'; June-15 Contract at 80%
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal contract is at 80.25% as of 01:48 UTC Monday after a 55.6-point surge in 24 hours.