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30 results for “trump”
The 'Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment?' contract sits at 17.35% as of 07:45 UTC Wednesday, down 9.15pp on the session, as the US-Iran deal crystallises around a 15-year suspension rather than US consent to continued enrichment.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's uranium-enrichment market sits at 51.5% as of 03:34 UTC Wednesday — up 23 points in 24 hours — on Trump's enrichment-suspension claim.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Israel-Iran June 30 peace market sits at 11.85% as of 05:00 UTC Tuesday, 86.8 percentage points below the US-Iran accord at 98.65%, as Trump's deal explicitly excludes bilateral normalization with Tel Aviv.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 sits at 10.05% as of 00:34 UTC Tuesday — down 14.25pp in 24 hours — as Trump's completion of the bilateral US-Iran accord confirmed Israel was never at the negotiating table.
Filed June 16, 2026
Trump's 'deal complete' declaration pushed the June-15 YES contract to 94.95% as of 23:20 UTC Monday — still 5pp from par with fewer than five hours to Polymarket's 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 US–Iran peace contract sits at 94% as of 22:03 UTC Monday, up 19.7pp after Trump and Ghalibaf signed an MOU.
Filed June 16, 2026
The WTI crude below-$75 June contract sits at 51.5% as of 21:35 UTC Monday, recovering from a session low of 44.5% after Trump's Iran peace deal drove spot crude toward $80.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery contract priced YES at 64% as of 18:17 UTC Monday, up 13.5 points on the session after Trump's Iran peace deal stalled against physical mine-clearance timelines.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 Iran deal contract sits at 94.8% as of 17:07 UTC Monday — up 74pp in 24 hours as Trump posted on Truth Social that the deal is 'complete' — with a 5pp adjudication gap tied to the June 19 formal signing.
Filed June 15, 2026
The US-Iran June 15 peace-deal contract climbed to 93.9% at 15:04 UTC Monday — up from 11.25% at the session open — with Trump declaring the accord 'complete' and less than 13 hours to the 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace-deal contract stands at 86.85% as of 09:47 UTC Monday, up 63pp in 24 hours after Trump declared the accord complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
At 93.5% as of 09:19 UTC Monday, the June-30 US–Iran deal contract has surged 43 points in 24 hours on Trump's deal-complete declaration.
Filed June 15, 2026
Bitcoin's $67.5K June contract priced at 70.5% at 02:35 UTC Monday, up 14 points after Trump declared the US-Iran deal complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal contract is at 80.25% as of 01:48 UTC Monday after a 55.6-point surge in 24 hours.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Bitcoin June-15 UP contract sits at 91.5% as of 00:45 UTC Monday, up 44.5pp in 24 hours after Trump declared the U.S.-Iran deal complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 15 $66K Bitcoin contract sits at 37.5% at 00:34 UTC Monday, up 22pp from Sunday's open after Trump's Iran deal fired spot BTC past $65,000, fading 8pp from the 45.5% session high.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 Iran deal contract hit 89.5% at 22:54 UTC Sunday as Trump declared the agreement complete and Pakistan's PM confirmed a June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland.
Filed June 15, 2026
Iran's FM contradicted Trump's Sunday signing timeline; the June-15 permanent peace deal contract was at 20.9% at 17:11 UTC Sunday, down 16.9pp in 24 hours.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 14 Iran ceasefire-extension contract jumped 15.5pp to 26% as of 16:24 UTC Sunday, reversing a slide toward the session floor with roughly 11.5 hours left to the midnight ET deadline.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 15 US–Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 16.1% as of 16:10 UTC Sunday — down 13.7 percentage points in 24 hours — as Iran's FM publicly rejected Trump's Sunday signing pledge and the deadline approached unsigned.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 14 ceasefire-extension market stands at 32% at 09:55 UTC Sunday, down from a 43% morning high as Iran's FM rejects a same-day deal.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-14 Iran ceasefire extension contract sits at 31.5% at 05:36 UTC Sunday — up 9.5pp on the day — as Trump's Truth Social signing pledge runs into Iran FM Baghaei's denial.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-13 ceasefire extension contract sits at 17.6% YES at 05:08 UTC Sunday, 69 minutes past its resolution deadline, as late buyers bet Trump's June 11 announcement qualifies under the market's own resolution criteria.
Filed June 14, 2026
The US-Iran June-15 peace deal contract held at 25.55% at 01:44 UTC Sunday — up 9.4pp in 24 hours — as Trump's signing claim collides with Tehran's pushback ahead of Monday's deadline.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 Iran peace-deal contract sits at 26.95% at 21:05 UTC Saturday, up 12.4pp from the 14.55% session open, as Trump's Truth Social signing pledge meets FM Baghaei's flat rejection.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-30 US–Iran peace deal hit 55.5% Saturday after Trump's Sunday-signing promise drove a 67.5% session peak before Iran's FM denied the timeline.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-15 US–Iran permanent peace-deal contract hit 28.25% Saturday before crashing to 16.25% at 13:18 UTC on Trump's 'this weekend' signing signal.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace deal crossed 50% to 50.5% at 12:16 UTC Saturday after deal text was confirmed agreed by both sides.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 15 US-Iran peace deal contract trades at 17.05% Friday, rebounding from an 8.25% session floor as Pakistan announces a 'final agreed text.'
Filed June 12, 2026
The June-15 Iran permanent-peace-deal contract has slipped to 15.25% as of 12:51 UTC Friday, as heavy YES selling checks the morning bid with roughly three days to deadline.
Filed June 12, 2026