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30 results for “peace deal”
The July 31 Hormuz normalization contract holds at 48.5% Tuesday with technical demining talks beginning in Switzerland and CENTCOM reporting 55 daily transits.
Filed June 23, 2026
Hormuz YES holds at 9.5% Saturday morning, up 1pp in 24 hours, as mine-clearance timelines block June normalization regardless of the Iran peace accord.
Filed June 20, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-30 recovery contract has fallen to 9.5% as of 07:25 UTC on June 19, down 9pp in the 24-hour window, as mine-clearance timelines overwhelm the US-Iran peace deal's momentum.
Filed June 19, 2026
Polymarket's June 19 US-Iran diplomatic-meeting contract fell to 21% as of 01:21 UTC Friday, down 41 points on the session.
Filed June 19, 2026
The Israel x Iran June 30 peace market is at 14.15% Wednesday afternoon, down 1.75pp on the session, as Lebanon withdrawal deadlock blocks any bilateral deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's zero-enrichment compliance contract dropped to 45.5% as of 15:10 UTC Wednesday, now 54 points below the 99.85% US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's enrichment-end contract hit 56.5% at 12:00 UTC Wednesday, up 17 points on the session, still 43.35pp below the near-certain US-Iran peace deal at 99.85%.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's enrichment-compliance contract priced at 47.5% at 10:08 UTC Wednesday, 52.35 points below the US-Iran peace deal at 99.85%, as the framework explicitly allows enrichment to continue for nonmilitary purposes.
Filed June 17, 2026
Israel-Iran peace-deal contract fell to 11.4% at 09:24 UTC Wednesday, down 3.25 points in 24 hours as Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon block the bilateral track.
Filed June 17, 2026
Polymarket's Iran enrichment-end contract is at 59.5% Wednesday morning—40 percentage points below the US-Iran peace deal now priced at 99.95%.
Filed June 17, 2026
At 43.5% as of 15:22 UTC Tuesday, the Iran enrichment-end contract sits 55.75 points beneath the 99.25% US-Iran peace-deal market—with the deal's unreleased text leaving the key nuclear-compliance clause unconfirmed.
Filed June 16, 2026
Bitcoin's $66K Tuesday contract sits at 82.5% at 11:02 UTC, up 44pp over 24 hours on the Iran peace deal and Strategy's $100M bitcoin buy.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract reached 17.5% at 07:07 UTC Tuesday — 13pp below Monday's 30.5% session peak — as mine clearance and war-risk insurance maintain a structural ceiling on YES.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran June 30 peace market sits at 11.85% as of 05:00 UTC Tuesday, 86.8 percentage points below the US-Iran accord at 98.65%, as Trump's deal explicitly excludes bilateral normalization with Tel Aviv.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 sits at 10.05% as of 00:34 UTC Tuesday — down 14.25pp in 24 hours — as Trump's completion of the bilateral US-Iran accord confirmed Israel was never at the negotiating table.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Iran-US June-15 peace-deal contract sits at 94.1% as of 22:18 UTC Monday, up 16.2 percentage points in 24 hours, after Iran's SNSC confirmed the MOU and a Geneva signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 US–Iran peace contract sits at 94% as of 22:03 UTC Monday, up 19.7pp after Trump and Ghalibaf signed an MOU.
Filed June 16, 2026
The WTI crude below-$75 June contract sits at 51.5% as of 21:35 UTC Monday, recovering from a session low of 44.5% after Trump's Iran peace deal drove spot crude toward $80.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery contract priced YES at 64% as of 18:17 UTC Monday, up 13.5 points on the session after Trump's Iran peace deal stalled against physical mine-clearance timelines.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 Iran deal contract sits at 94.8% as of 17:07 UTC Monday — up 74pp in 24 hours as Trump posted on Truth Social that the deal is 'complete' — with a 5pp adjudication gap tied to the June 19 formal signing.
Filed June 15, 2026
Ethereum's $1,800 same-day settlement contract prices at 93.5% as of 15:12 UTC Monday, up nearly 90 percentage points in 24 hours as the Iran peace deal drove ETH past the strike.
Filed June 15, 2026
The US-Iran June 15 peace-deal contract climbed to 93.9% at 15:04 UTC Monday — up from 11.25% at the session open — with Trump declaring the accord 'complete' and less than 13 hours to the 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Bitcoin above-$66K Monday settlement contract hit 86.5% at 13:00 UTC, up 75 points from its session open, on the confirmed US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 15, 2026
At 93.5% as of 09:19 UTC Monday, the June-30 US–Iran deal contract has surged 43 points in 24 hours on Trump's deal-complete declaration.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract sits at 93.5% at 04:39 UTC Monday — up 44pp in 24 hours — as the June-15 deadline passes and a Switzerland signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran peace deal contract prices at 93.5% at 04:09 UTC Monday, up 43 points from Sunday's open after Pakistan confirmed a finalized MOU.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 92.5% as of 02:53 UTC Monday, up 45 points in 24 hours, as a confirmed June 19 Switzerland signing ceremony makes the June 30 resolution window near-mechanical.
Filed June 15, 2026
Bitcoin's $67.5K June contract priced at 70.5% at 02:35 UTC Monday, up 14 points after Trump declared the US-Iran deal complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal contract is at 80.25% as of 01:48 UTC Monday after a 55.6-point surge in 24 hours.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 Iran deal contract hit 89.5% at 22:54 UTC Sunday as Trump declared the agreement complete and Pakistan's PM confirmed a June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland.
Filed June 15, 2026