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30 results for “US”
Argentina's 2026 World Cup winner market held at 17.65% at 08:13 UTC Saturday, up 2.9 percentage points over 24 hours, as the Round of 32 draws into focus and YES buyers absorb early-session selling.
Filed June 27, 2026
Polymarket prices Putin out of the Russian presidency before year-end at 12.5% as of early Saturday — up 3 percentage points from the 24-hour low — after an overnight block buy tests a structural ceiling.
Filed June 27, 2026
The Elon Musk 40-64 tweet bracket for June 25–27 sits at 89.5% as of 03:31 UTC Saturday — up 43 percentage points in the session — as the rival 65-89 band collapses to just 6 cents on the dollar.
Filed June 27, 2026
The Hormuz recovery market holds at 47.5% YES at 02:40 UTC Saturday as 80 IMO-estimated mines block the transit threshold despite the US-Iran ceasefire.
Filed June 27, 2026
Elon Musk's 65-89 tweet bracket fell to 8.65% at 01:32 UTC Saturday, down 26.75 percentage points over 24 hours as the rival 40-64 bracket claimed 85% probability with 14.5 hours to close.
Filed June 27, 2026
Bitcoin's June 27 market prices DOWN at 84.5% as of 01:25 UTC Saturday, sustaining the $397M liquidation cascade that locked in BTC's June 26 noon ET reference.
Filed June 27, 2026
Tesla's Q2-475K delivery YES is at 12.8% at 00:40 UTC Saturday — down 23.5pp in 24 hours — as a 22-analyst Wall Street consensus of 406,024 units sits nearly 69,000 vehicles below the resolution bar.
Filed June 27, 2026
Elon Musk's 240-259 tweet bracket stands at 73.05% as of 04:36 UTC Friday — up 51.1 points from Thursday's session floor — with noon ET settlement 11 hours 24 minutes away.
Filed June 26, 2026
Paraguay vs. Australia's draw contract has reached 69.5% at 03:30 UTC Friday, up 27 points from the 42.5% pre-kickoff baseline, as the Group D decider holds scoreless at the 64th minute.
Filed June 26, 2026
Turkey leads 2-1 at the 32nd minute; the live book mid has crashed to 29.5¢ from 47.5¢ at 02:29 UTC after Kökcü breaks the stalemate at SoFi Stadium.
Filed June 26, 2026
USA YES trades at 51.5% as of 15:37 UTC Thursday, up just 1pp on the day as Pochettino's four-starter rotation keeps the Group D finale barely above a coin flip.
Filed June 25, 2026
Hormuz June YES hit 14.25% Thursday—up 11.75pp from its 2.5% open—as the Islamabad Memorandum fires conviction but IMF Portwatch records just 5 transits.
Filed June 25, 2026
The 240–259 tweet bracket reached 47.55% at 06:24 UTC Thursday, recovering from a 21.95% pre-dawn session low after buyers pushed the contract through a 50.30% recovery peak with fewer than 34 hours to the Friday deadline.
Filed June 25, 2026
Germany YES at 65.15% at 05:36 UTC Thursday, up 12.65pp on the session, as Nagelsmann flags rotation ahead of a must-win Ecuador.
Filed June 25, 2026
Germany's World Cup odds vs. Ecuador sit at 65.75% as of 04:10 UTC Thursday — up 13.25pp from the session open of 52.5% — with $3.26M in 24-hour volume driving the sustained overnight bid.
Filed June 25, 2026
The 11+ M5.5+ earthquake bracket for June 22–28 sits at 42% as of 02:16 UTC Thursday, up 27.5 points after Venezuela's M7.5/M7.2 doublet confirmed four seismic events.
Filed June 25, 2026
Venezuela's M7.2 and M7.5 appear to have pushed the USGS M7+ running tally to 10, firing the exactly-10 bracket to 76% at 01:21 UTC Thursday.
Filed June 25, 2026
Elon Musk's 220-239 tweet bracket reached 40% at 21:54 UTC Wednesday, up 13.5 points in 24 hours, as traders price a concentrated posting burst into the June 26 settlement.
Filed June 25, 2026
The exactly-nine M7.0+ earthquake market priced at 35% at 20:42 UTC Wednesday—up 7 points on the day—with six confirmed 2026 major quakes and six days to resolution.
Filed June 24, 2026
The US-Iran final-deal market clawed back to 23.5% Wednesday on YES dip buying off a 22.5% session low, as the enrichment stalemate persists.
Filed June 24, 2026
Elon Musk's 220-239 weekly tweet bracket held at a session-high 36.5% as of 19:39 UTC Wednesday, up 17pp over the past 24 hours, with roughly 44 hours to Friday's settlement.
Filed June 24, 2026
Elon Musk's 220-239 post bracket reached a session-high 36% at 19:06 UTC Wednesday, up 17 percentage points from Tuesday's open, with 45 hours to Friday's noon-ET close.
Filed June 24, 2026
US-Iran August 31 nuclear deal market hit session-low 22.5% as of 17:45 UTC Wednesday, down 5pp as enrichment-duration disputes persist.
Filed June 24, 2026
Despite a government-backed UAP science advisory council and three file drops since May, the US alien-confirmation market held at 9.5% as of 16:34 UTC Wednesday.
Filed June 24, 2026
The US June tornado market priced 81.1% YES by 14:39 UTC Wednesday, a 71-percentage-point, 24-hour surge driven by an SPC Enhanced Risk forecast and Mrage's 694-share overnight block.
Filed June 24, 2026
London City Airport's 14:20 UTC METAR read 34°C on Wednesday, pushing the '35°C or below' YES contract to 94.5% — up 28pp in 24 hours.
Filed June 24, 2026
The Polymarket contract on US alien disclosure held at 9.5% as of 13:42 UTC Wednesday, flat across its full 24-hour session on $106,267 in volume.
Filed June 24, 2026
The Polymarket contract hit 86.55% at 13:30 UTC Wednesday, up 85.2pp from its 1.35% session open, with noon ET resolution hours away.
Filed June 24, 2026
The US-Iran final nuclear deal market sits at 22.5% as of 12:30 UTC Wednesday, down 6 percentage points in 24 hours on widening enrichment impasses.
Filed June 24, 2026
Musk's 240-259 bracket hit 33.15% Wednesday, up 31.7pp in 24 hours, as a MuskMeter high-pace reading fired YES conviction with 52 hours to settlement.
Filed June 24, 2026