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30 results for “Iran peace deal”
Hormuz YES holds at 9.5% Saturday morning, up 1pp in 24 hours, as mine-clearance timelines block June normalization regardless of the Iran peace accord.
Filed June 20, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-30 recovery contract has fallen to 9.5% as of 07:25 UTC on June 19, down 9pp in the 24-hour window, as mine-clearance timelines overwhelm the US-Iran peace deal's momentum.
Filed June 19, 2026
Iran's zero-enrichment compliance contract dropped to 45.5% as of 15:10 UTC Wednesday, now 54 points below the 99.85% US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's enrichment-end contract hit 56.5% at 12:00 UTC Wednesday, up 17 points on the session, still 43.35pp below the near-certain US-Iran peace deal at 99.85%.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's enrichment-compliance contract priced at 47.5% at 10:08 UTC Wednesday, 52.35 points below the US-Iran peace deal at 99.85%, as the framework explicitly allows enrichment to continue for nonmilitary purposes.
Filed June 17, 2026
Polymarket's Iran enrichment-end contract is at 59.5% Wednesday morning—40 percentage points below the US-Iran peace deal now priced at 99.95%.
Filed June 17, 2026
Bitcoin's $66K Tuesday contract sits at 82.5% at 11:02 UTC, up 44pp over 24 hours on the Iran peace deal and Strategy's $100M bitcoin buy.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract reached 17.5% at 07:07 UTC Tuesday — 13pp below Monday's 30.5% session peak — as mine clearance and war-risk insurance maintain a structural ceiling on YES.
Filed June 16, 2026
The WTI crude below-$75 June contract sits at 51.5% as of 21:35 UTC Monday, recovering from a session low of 44.5% after Trump's Iran peace deal drove spot crude toward $80.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery contract priced YES at 64% as of 18:17 UTC Monday, up 13.5 points on the session after Trump's Iran peace deal stalled against physical mine-clearance timelines.
Filed June 15, 2026
Ethereum's $1,800 same-day settlement contract prices at 93.5% as of 15:12 UTC Monday, up nearly 90 percentage points in 24 hours as the Iran peace deal drove ETH past the strike.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Bitcoin above-$66K Monday settlement contract hit 86.5% at 13:00 UTC, up 75 points from its session open, on the confirmed US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract sits at 93.5% at 04:39 UTC Monday — up 44pp in 24 hours — as the June-15 deadline passes and a Switzerland signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran peace deal contract prices at 93.5% at 04:09 UTC Monday, up 43 points from Sunday's open after Pakistan confirmed a finalized MOU.
Filed June 15, 2026
Bitcoin's $67.5K June contract priced at 70.5% at 02:35 UTC Monday, up 14 points after Trump declared the US-Iran deal complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal contract is at 80.25% as of 01:48 UTC Monday after a 55.6-point surge in 24 hours.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal trades at 17.85% as of 20:17 UTC Sunday, down 8.55 points from open, with Khamenei approval absent.
Filed June 14, 2026
Iran's 440kg uranium stockpile and Khamenei's public silence hold the June 30 US-Iran peace deal at 50% as of 08:23 UTC Sunday.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 Iran peace-deal contract sits at 26.95% at 21:05 UTC Saturday, up 12.4pp from the 14.55% session open, as Trump's Truth Social signing pledge meets FM Baghaei's flat rejection.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal sits at 26.4% as of 20:18 UTC Saturday—up 9.4pp on the day after Iran's FM rejected a Sunday Geneva signing and reaffirmed uranium enrichment demands.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal is at 29.25% at 18:25 UTC Saturday, up 11.9pp over 24 hours as Pakistan's final-text claim drives a second afternoon surge.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-30 US–Iran peace deal hit 55.5% Saturday after Trump's Sunday-signing promise drove a 67.5% session peak before Iran's FM denied the timeline.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace deal crossed 50% to 50.5% at 12:16 UTC Saturday after deal text was confirmed agreed by both sides.
Filed June 13, 2026
Polymarket's Israel-Iran June 30 peace-deal contract hit 12.45% Saturday, up 7.2pp from its 24-hour open, as the 60-day truce extension framework sustains fresh buying.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 15 US-Iran peace deal is at 16.5% at 22:03 UTC Friday, off the 21.6% session high as Iran hedges on Pakistan's 'final text' claim.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal climbed to 19.7% at 18:57 UTC Friday, up 8.05pp from its 11.65% session open, as Pakistan's PM declared a 'final agreed upon text' was reached.
Filed June 12, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal contract trades at 17.6% Friday, up 4.65pp from its session open, after Pakistan's PM declared the 'final, agreed text' reached.
Filed June 12, 2026
The June 15 US-Iran peace deal contract trades at 17.05% Friday, rebounding from an 8.25% session floor as Pakistan announces a 'final agreed text.'
Filed June 12, 2026
Polymarket's June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract trades at 16.35% as of 12:15 UTC Friday, up 11.75pp from its 4.6% session open on Trump's 60-day ceasefire extension.
Filed June 12, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace-deal contract trades at 28.5% Friday, having surged 29pp from Thursday's 15.5% open before the uranium enrichment sticking point dragged it back.
Filed June 12, 2026