Iran Peace-Deal Contract Holds at 5.5% as Trump Revises MOU a Third Time
At 5.5% as of 03:09 UTC Tuesday, the June 7 permanent-peace contract prices 1-in-18 odds as Trump's latest edits circle back to Tehran unsigned.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
As Orakll reported earlier this morning, the US × Iran permanent peace-deal contract is holding at 5.5% as of 03:09 UTC Tuesday — down 2pp from yesterday's 7.5% session open — on $2.6M in 24-hour volume with five days to Sunday's 11:59 PM ET deadline. The session ranged from a low of 0.045 to a high of 0.085.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics June 7 Iran Peace Deal Holds at 11.5% as Trump Withholds MOU Sign-Off
The June 7 permanent-peace contract sits at 11.5% as of 12:11 UTC Sunday, down 2 points over 24 hours on $716k in volume.
Filed May 31, 2026
Politics Iran Peace-Deal Contract Sinks to 7.5% as Trump Stalls on MOU
The US-Iran June 7 permanent peace-deal contract sits at 7.5% early Monday, down 5pp in 24 hours on $1.26M volume, as Trump withholds MOU sign-off.
Filed June 1, 2026
Politics June 7 Iran peace contract climbs to 40.5% on 60-day framework
PPC's tracker has the June 7 US-Iran permanent-peace contract at 40.5% as of 04:15 UTC May 26 — up 8 points in 24 hours on $327k of volume.
Filed May 26, 2026
Politics Stalled Talks Keep Iran Extension Odds Contested at 43.5%
US-Iran ceasefire extension odds hold at 43.5% Wednesday, down 1 point as nuclear and Hormuz deadlocks persist with 20 days left to the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 10, 2026