Iran June 7 Deal Contract at 5.5% as MOU Remains Unsigned
The June 7 permanent peace-deal contract eased to 5.5% Tuesday as Trump withholds MOU approval and the deadline sits five days out.

YES probability · 24h change
- 24h vol
- $3.2M
- Liquidity
- $919k
- Contract
- us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-7-2026
The contract pricing a permanent US-Iran peace deal by June 7 has eased to 5.5% as of 11:29 UTC Tuesday, down 1 percentage point from yesterday's open of 6.5%, per Orakll's earlier coverage this morning. The 24-hour window saw the contract range from a session low of 4.5% to a high of 8.5% before settling near the bottom of that band, as $3.31M in fresh volume flowed through a market increasingly pricing structural deal failure rather than deadline-distance compression.
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