Iran June 7 Deal Fades to 5.5% With MOU Still Unsigned
The US-Iran permanent peace deal by June 7 contract sits at 5.5% as of 01:21 UTC Tuesday, down 3pp on the 24-hour session, as Trump's sign-off on the May 28 MOU remains pending.

The Polymarket contract on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by June 7 has slipped to 5.5% as of 01:21 UTC Tuesday, down from an 8.5% open 24 hours ago and off the session low of 4.5%. Orakll's last coverage found the contract at 11.5%; it has since shed 6pp more as five days remain before Sunday's 11:59 PM ET deadline.
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