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9 results for “ceasefire extension”
The June-14 Iran ceasefire extension contract sits at 31.5% at 05:36 UTC Sunday — up 9.5pp on the day — as Trump's Truth Social signing pledge runs into Iran FM Baghaei's denial.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-13 ceasefire extension contract sits at 17.6% YES at 05:08 UTC Sunday, 69 minutes past its resolution deadline, as late buyers bet Trump's June 11 announcement qualifies under the market's own resolution criteria.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-13 Iran ceasefire extension market hit 24% at 16:52 UTC Saturday — up 15.5pp from 8.5% in under 25 minutes — as Pakistan's PM says a deal could be signed within 24 hours.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-15 Iran permanent-peace-deal contract has slipped to 15.25% as of 12:51 UTC Friday, as heavy YES selling checks the morning bid with roughly three days to deadline.
Filed June 12, 2026
Polymarket's June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract trades at 16.35% as of 12:15 UTC Friday, up 11.75pp from its 4.6% session open on Trump's 60-day ceasefire extension.
Filed June 12, 2026
The Hormuz end-of-June recovery contract reached 24% Friday after Trump's ceasefire extension spurred YES buying; mine-clearance timelines and $1M-per-ship tolls cap the upside.
Filed June 12, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract stands at 4.5% as of 07:03 UTC Friday, down 12pp from its 16.5% Thursday open, after Trump announced a 60-day ceasefire extension.
Filed June 12, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire extension odds hold at 43.5% Wednesday, down 1 point as nuclear and Hormuz deadlocks persist with 20 days left to the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 10, 2026
The contract on a US-announced Iran ceasefire extension by tonight's 11:59 PM ET deadline trades at 8.5% as of 05:17 UTC May 26, down 7 points on $635k of 24h volume.
Filed May 26, 2026