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30 results for “Iran deal”
Hormuz June YES hit 14.25% Thursday—up 11.75pp from its 2.5% open—as the Islamabad Memorandum fires conviction but IMF Portwatch records just 5 transits.
Filed June 25, 2026
The uranium-enrichment compliance market priced at 69% at 02:17 UTC Friday as the signed US-Iran MOU requires only stockpile downblending — no formal zero-enrichment pledge.
Filed June 19, 2026
Iran's zero-enrichment compliance contract dropped to 45.5% as of 15:10 UTC Wednesday, now 54 points below the 99.85% US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Polymarket prices the Iran accord text-release at 29.5% as of 13:17 UTC Wednesday after CNN published the 14-point draft but the White House and Tehran both disputed its authenticity.
Filed June 17, 2026
The 'Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment?' contract sits at 17.35% as of 07:45 UTC Wednesday, down 9.15pp on the session, as the US-Iran deal crystallises around a 15-year suspension rather than US consent to continued enrichment.
Filed June 17, 2026
Hormuz's June recovery contract trades at 17.5% as of 03:57 UTC Wednesday, pinned by mine-clearance and insurance barriers that outlast the Iran deal bounce.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Polymarket contract pricing Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic back to normal by June 30 is at 17.5% as of 15:12 UTC Tuesday, down 9 points on the day, after real-time AIS data confirmed no significant tanker movement since the Iran deal.
Filed June 16, 2026
Bitcoin's $66K Tuesday contract sits at 82.5% at 11:02 UTC, up 44pp over 24 hours on the Iran peace deal and Strategy's $100M bitcoin buy.
Filed June 16, 2026
Hormuz June recovery priced at 18.5% at 06:01 UTC Tuesday — off 11.5 points — as mines and insurance hold what the Iran accord cannot resolve.
Filed June 16, 2026
Bitcoin's June 16 DOWN contract stands at 94.5% as of 02:30 UTC Tuesday — the 'Up' token at its session floor of 5.5% — as BTC spot retreats from Monday's Iran-deal peak ahead of Tuesday's noon-ET settlement.
Filed June 16, 2026
Trump's 'deal complete' declaration pushed the June-15 YES contract to 94.95% as of 23:20 UTC Monday — still 5pp from par with fewer than five hours to Polymarket's 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 16, 2026
The June-15 US–Iran peace contract sits at 94% as of 22:03 UTC Monday, up 19.7pp after Trump and Ghalibaf signed an MOU.
Filed June 16, 2026
SpaceX's $2.5–3.0T IPO-month bracket has risen to 29.3% as of 21:03 UTC Monday, up 19.05pp in 24 hours, as SPCX surged 19.58% to $192.47.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery contract priced YES at 64% as of 18:17 UTC Monday, up 13.5 points on the session after Trump's Iran peace deal stalled against physical mine-clearance timelines.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 Iran deal contract sits at 94.8% as of 17:07 UTC Monday — up 74pp in 24 hours as Trump posted on Truth Social that the deal is 'complete' — with a 5pp adjudication gap tied to the June 19 formal signing.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Bitcoin above-$66K Monday settlement contract hit 86.5% at 13:00 UTC, up 75 points from its session open, on the confirmed US-Iran peace deal.
Filed June 15, 2026
At 93.5% as of 09:19 UTC Monday, the June-30 US–Iran deal contract has surged 43 points in 24 hours on Trump's deal-complete declaration.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract sits at 93.5% at 04:39 UTC Monday — up 44pp in 24 hours — as the June-15 deadline passes and a Switzerland signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran peace deal contract prices at 93.5% at 04:09 UTC Monday, up 43 points from Sunday's open after Pakistan confirmed a finalized MOU.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 92.5% as of 02:53 UTC Monday, up 45 points in 24 hours, as a confirmed June 19 Switzerland signing ceremony makes the June 30 resolution window near-mechanical.
Filed June 15, 2026
Bitcoin's $67.5K June contract priced at 70.5% at 02:35 UTC Monday, up 14 points after Trump declared the US-Iran deal complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract holds at 26.5% as of 02:00 UTC Monday, up 6pp on Iran deal news but anchored by mine-clearance timelines that stretch well past June 30.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal contract is at 80.25% as of 01:48 UTC Monday after a 55.6-point surge in 24 hours.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Bitcoin June-15 UP contract sits at 91.5% as of 00:45 UTC Monday, up 44.5pp in 24 hours after Trump declared the U.S.-Iran deal complete.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 15 $66K Bitcoin contract sits at 37.5% at 00:34 UTC Monday, up 22pp from Sunday's open after Trump's Iran deal fired spot BTC past $65,000, fading 8pp from the 45.5% session high.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 Iran deal contract hit 89.5% at 22:54 UTC Sunday as Trump declared the agreement complete and Pakistan's PM confirmed a June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Hormuz-recovery contract surged late Sunday before retreating to 25.5% at 22:42 UTC, as insurance costs and mine-clearance timelines continue to cap the YES case.
Filed June 15, 2026
June-30 US-Iran peace contract reached 54.5% at 20:48 UTC Sunday, 31 points above the Monday-deadline variant on heavy block buying.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal trades at 17.85% as of 20:17 UTC Sunday, down 8.55 points from open, with Khamenei approval absent.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 15 US–Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 16.1% as of 16:10 UTC Sunday — down 13.7 percentage points in 24 hours — as Iran's FM publicly rejected Trump's Sunday signing pledge and the deadline approached unsigned.
Filed June 14, 2026