Project Freedom restart contract collapses to 7.8% with four days left
Polymarket put the Project Freedom restart at 7.8% mid-afternoon UTC Tuesday, down from a 78.65% intraday high inside 24 hours on $443k of flow.
Polymarket's contract on a Project Freedom restart sat at 7.8% at 14:49 UTC on May 27, four days from the May 31, 11:59 PM ET deadline, after round-tripping from a 78.65% intraday high to a 7.2% low inside 24 hours on $443,281.85 of fresh volume — extending the slide across the Iran cluster's near-term contracts.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics June-15 Iran Deal Rebounds to 16.35% After Drone-Strike Sell-Off
The June-15 US–Iran peace-deal contract stands at 16.35% at 16:47 UTC Friday, recovering from a drone-intercept sell-off that drove it to 8.65%.
Filed June 12, 2026
Economics Hormuz June Contract Hits 18.5% Floor on Mine-Clearance Math
The Hormuz June contract hit 18.5% at 05:22 UTC Tuesday, down 11 points from Monday's 0.295 open, as a 40-to-50-day mine-clearance timeline makes the June 30 deadline unreachable.
Filed June 16, 2026
Economics Hormuz Recovery at 21.5% as Mine-Clearance Clock Caps Monday Peak
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract sits at 21.5% as of 19:23 UTC Monday, off a 35.5% session high; mine-clearance timelines and 8% war-risk premiums maintain the structural ceiling.