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6 results for “prediction-markets”
The exactly-nine M7.0+ earthquake market priced at 35% at 20:42 UTC Wednesday—up 7 points on the day—with six confirmed 2026 major quakes and six days to resolution.
Filed June 24, 2026
The Polymarket contract hit 86.55% at 13:30 UTC Wednesday, up 85.2pp from its 1.35% session open, with noon ET resolution hours away.
Filed June 24, 2026
The June 13 Bitcoin Up or Down contract reached 95.5% YES at 13:12 UTC Saturday, up 46pp on the day, as BTC spot at $64,141 cleared Friday's noon reference level.
Filed June 13, 2026
Polymarket prices the 240-259 tweet-count bin at 29.35% at 09:29 UTC May 26, up 11.65pp on $335k of 24h volume.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket traders moved $1.08M through the Thunder-Spurs contract in 24 hours, yet the line still prices Oklahoma City at 45.5% Friday afternoon.
Filed May 22, 2026
The contract paying out if Strait of Hormuz shipping normalizes by May 31 last traded at 5.45%, down 3.65 points over 24 hours.
Filed May 22, 2026