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16 results for “forecast”
London's 36°C bracket surged 32.25pp over 24 hours to a session high of 50.75%, trading at 48.65% at 10:46 UTC Friday as London City Airport already reads 35°C and forecasts point to 97°F.
Filed June 26, 2026
Tesla's Q2-475K delivery bracket holds at 36.3% YES Friday morning, retreating from a 49.95% session peak as Goldman's 420K estimate sits 55,000 below the resolution threshold.
Filed June 26, 2026
The US June tornado market priced 81.1% YES by 14:39 UTC Wednesday, a 71-percentage-point, 24-hour surge driven by an SPC Enhanced Risk forecast and Mrage's 694-share overnight block.
Filed June 24, 2026
London's ≤35°C limit market priced 68.5% YES at 20:29 UTC Tuesday, up 49pp overnight, as the Met Office amber heat warning tightens Wednesday's forecast to the threshold.
Filed June 23, 2026
Shanghai's 24°C high bracket hit 66% on Polymarket by 03:11 UTC Monday, up 48.5pp as overcast forecasts cap the afternoon high.
Filed June 22, 2026
NYC's 82–83°F temperature bracket hit 73% on Polymarket at 18:31 UTC Sunday, up 34 points from a 39% session open, as Wunderground's LaGuardia forecast locked onto an 82°F afternoon high.
Filed June 21, 2026
LA's Polymarket 70–71°F June 21 high bracket has surged 33.5 points to 79% as of 17:29 UTC Sunday as a marine-layer forecast locks in coastal cooling.
Filed June 21, 2026
Hong Kong's 33°C Polymarket bracket surged 24 points to 55.5% Sunday as the HKO flags heat continuing through Monday's settlement.
Filed June 21, 2026
Polymarket's Toy Story 5 top-grosser contract climbed to 36.4% as of 20:29 UTC Thursday — a 17.75pp overnight surge — as a $150M opening-weekend projection cements franchise conviction eight days before release.
Filed June 11, 2026
The zero-cuts contract holds at 80.95% at 21:05 UTC Saturday, up 9.3 pp, after May payrolls more than doubled analyst forecasts.
Filed June 7, 2026
The Hong Kong 34°C June 4 contract is at 77% as of 17:47 UTC Wednesday, up 20.5pp as HKO's forecast pins Thursday's maximum exactly at the resolution threshold.
Filed June 3, 2026
Seoul's June 3 temperature contract has surged to 80.5% as of Wednesday morning as Incheon's 86°F forecast sits 3°C above the 27°C resolution threshold.
Filed June 3, 2026
Hong Kong's June 3 34°C-high contract is at 56% as of 01:56 UTC Wednesday, up 14.5pp as HKO's predicted midweek heat window opens.
Filed June 3, 2026
Milan's 23°C bracket priced at 93.6% as of 13:40 UTC June 2, up 69.1pp in 24 hours, as Malpensa's station forecast targets the threshold.
Filed June 2, 2026
Paris's May 31 threshold contract stands at 92.05¢ as of 02:47 UTC, up 83.05 points from a 9.5¢ open as Météo-France guidance puts Sunday's high near 26°C.
Filed May 31, 2026
Seoul's 110-120mm May bracket trades at 44.75% — up 33.1 points in 24 hours — as a late-May KMA rain event reshapes the final-48h forecast with the May 31 deadline two days out.
Filed May 29, 2026