Toy Story 5's Record-Opening Forecast Drives YES Contract to 36.4%
Polymarket's Toy Story 5 top-grosser contract climbed to 36.4% as of 20:29 UTC Thursday — a 17.75pp overnight surge — as a $150M opening-weekend projection cements franchise conviction eight days before release.
The market pricing Toy Story 5 as 2026's highest domestic grosser has surged 17.75 percentage points in 24 hours to 36.4% as of 20:29 UTC Thursday, June 11, opening the session at 19.2% before Deadline's blockbuster forecast funneled taker demand into the YES side ahead of the film's June 19 opening.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Culture $160M Domestic Gross Fires Toy Story 5 Bracket to 89.5% Session High
The Toy Story 5 $158–171M bracket reached 89.5% Sunday at 19:53 UTC — the session high, up 26.5pp on Variety's confirmed $160 million domestic gross.
Filed June 21, 2026
Culture Toy Story 5 YES Climbs to 22% as Opening Day Fires Recovery
Toy Story 5's $184M Polymarket contract priced at 22% as of 15:39 UTC Friday, recovering from the session's 0.08 floor as opening-day attendance data filters in.
Filed June 19, 2026
Culture Obsession's Record Leg Pins Devil Wears Prada 2 at 11.75%
Prada 2 dropped to 11.75% for May's domestic crown as of 12:29 UTC Thursday, down 18.15 points overnight, as Obsession clears $152.1 million domestic.
The Market · Live