De la Espriella Hits 79.5% on Surprise Colombia First-Round Lead
De la Espriella at 79.5% on June 1, up 15pp after a surprise first-round lead over Cepeda forces a June 21 Colombia runoff.
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De la Espriella's Polymarket contract sits at 79.5% as of 08:50 UTC Monday, up 15pp from 64.5% in 24 hours on $480k of volume. Colombia's May 31 first-round vote put him at 43% of ballots — ahead of Senator Iván Cepeda's 40% — but short of the 50% threshold needed for an outright win, sending the race to a June 21 runoff that the market now prices as de la Espriella's to lose.
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