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19 results for “heat”

Weather
Red Alert Peak Fires Le Bourget 36°C Bracket to 59.55%
Le Bourget's 36°C bracket hit 59.55% at 14:59 UTC Friday, up 55.55pp from yesterday's 4% open, as France's red heatwave alert reaches its Friday peak.
Filed June 26, 2026
Weather
EGLC Hits 35°C With 74 Minutes Left; London 36°C YES at 48.65%
London's 36°C bracket surged 32.25pp over 24 hours to a session high of 50.75%, trading at 48.65% at 10:46 UTC Friday as London City Airport already reads 35°C and forecasts point to 97°F.
Filed June 26, 2026
Weather
ZSPD Reads 80°F; Shanghai 27°C Bracket Locks at Session-High 97.5¢
Shanghai's 27°C temperature bracket hit a session high of 97.5¢ at 07:49 UTC Friday, up 61 percentage points from 36.5¢ on confirmed ZSPD temperature data.
Filed June 26, 2026
Weather
EGLC Reads 34°C at Peak Hour, London 35°C YES Locks at 94.5%
London City Airport's 14:20 UTC METAR read 34°C on Wednesday, pushing the '35°C or below' YES contract to 94.5% — up 28pp in 24 hours.
Filed June 24, 2026
Weather
Seoul 27°C YES Surges to 60.5% as Incheon Hits 79°F
Seoul's 27°C same-day heat bracket hit 60.5% at 05:57 UTC Wednesday, up 53.5 points from a 7% open, as Incheon Airport reads 79°F mid-afternoon.
Filed June 24, 2026
Weather
Amber Warning Fires London 35°C YES 49pp to 68.5%
London's ≤35°C limit market priced 68.5% YES at 20:29 UTC Tuesday, up 49pp overnight, as the Met Office amber heat warning tightens Wednesday's forecast to the threshold.
Filed June 23, 2026
Weather
Met Office 34°C Call Fires Shenzhen 33°C Contract to 96.5%
Shenzhen's heat-threshold contract is pricing at 96.45% as of 09:51 UTC Monday, up 54 percentage points from its 42.5% session open, with the 12:00 UTC settlement roughly 2 hours away.
Filed June 22, 2026
Weather
Seoul 27°C Bracket Surges to 80.5% as Afternoon Heat Builds
Seoul's 27°C bracket sits at 80.5% YES as of 04:28 UTC Monday, up 49pp overnight as Incheon Airport afternoon heat presses the resolution target.
Filed June 22, 2026
Weather
Spain Heatwave Fires Madrid 39°C Bracket to 93.35%
Madrid's 39°C bracket surged to 93.35% at 16:32 UTC Sunday as Spain's first official 2026 heatwave drove city-centre temperatures to 40°C.
Filed June 21, 2026
Weather
Amber Heat Warning Drives London 28°C YES to 94.5%
London's 28°C heat-threshold contract surged 79 points to 94.5% by 15:22 UTC Sunday as a Met Office Amber Extreme Heat Warning confirmed scorching conditions.
Filed June 21, 2026
Weather
HKO Hot-Weekend Forecast Fires Hong Kong 33°C Market to 55.5%
Hong Kong's 33°C Polymarket bracket surged 24 points to 55.5% Sunday as the HKO flags heat continuing through Monday's settlement.
Filed June 21, 2026
Politics
Ipsos Dead-Heat Poll Lifts Sánchez Palomino to 37.3% Two Days Out
Sánchez Palomino's contract stands at 37.3% at 08:40 UTC Friday, up 10.9 points in 24 hours after an Ipsos poll put him in a statistical tie with Fujimori ahead of Sunday's vote.
Filed June 5, 2026
Weather
HKO 29–34°C Forecast Anchors June 4 Heat Contract at 77%
The Hong Kong 34°C June 4 contract is at 77% as of 17:47 UTC Wednesday, up 20.5pp as HKO's forecast pins Thursday's maximum exactly at the resolution threshold.
Filed June 3, 2026
Politics
Kim Boo-kyum Hits 70.5% Session Peak on Daegu Exit-Poll Tie, Now 17.5%
Kim Boo-kyum's Daegu contract sat at 17.5% at 14:34 UTC Wednesday after surging to a 70.5% session peak on exit polls showing a statistical dead heat.
Filed June 3, 2026
Weather
HKO Midweek Heat Forecast Lifts Hong Kong 34°C Contract to 56%
Hong Kong's June 3 34°C-high contract is at 56% as of 01:56 UTC Wednesday, up 14.5pp as HKO's predicted midweek heat window opens.
Filed June 3, 2026
Weather
Shenzhen Airport Station Hits 86°F as 29°C Contract Races to 89%
Shenzhen's 29°C bracket hit 89.2% at 08:32 UTC Sunday as the Bao'an Airport station read 86°F live, with Wunderground resolution due inside four hours.
Filed May 31, 2026
Weather
Paris 25°C Contract Surges 83 Points to 92¢ on Heat Forecast
Paris's May 31 threshold contract stands at 92.05¢ as of 02:47 UTC, up 83.05 points from a 9.5¢ open as Météo-France guidance puts Sunday's high near 26°C.
Filed May 31, 2026
Culture
Breadwinner Opening-Day Data Sends $7M+ Contract to 87.5¢
The Breadwinner's $7M+ contract hit 87.5¢ Saturday, up 23.5 points in 24 hours, as opening-day data confirmed $2.75M from 3,252 theaters.
Filed May 30, 2026
Weather
June 2026 Record-Heat Contract Holds at 38.5% After Crash to 13%
At 38.5% on May 29, the June 2026 hottest-on-record market has bounced from a 13% floor as neutral ENSO mutes the European heat read-across.
Filed May 29, 2026

Red Alert Peak Fires Le Bourget 36°C Bracket to 59.55%

EGLC Hits 35°C With 74 Minutes Left; London 36°C YES at 48.65%

ZSPD Reads 80°F; Shanghai 27°C Bracket Locks at Session-High 97.5¢

EGLC Reads 34°C at Peak Hour, London 35°C YES Locks at 94.5%

Seoul 27°C YES Surges to 60.5% as Incheon Hits 79°F

Amber Warning Fires London 35°C YES 49pp to 68.5%

Met Office 34°C Call Fires Shenzhen 33°C Contract to 96.5%

Seoul 27°C Bracket Surges to 80.5% as Afternoon Heat Builds

Spain Heatwave Fires Madrid 39°C Bracket to 93.35%

Amber Heat Warning Drives London 28°C YES to 94.5%

HKO Hot-Weekend Forecast Fires Hong Kong 33°C Market to 55.5%

Ipsos Dead-Heat Poll Lifts Sánchez Palomino to 37.3% Two Days Out

HKO 29–34°C Forecast Anchors June 4 Heat Contract at 77%

Kim Boo-kyum Hits 70.5% Session Peak on Daegu Exit-Poll Tie, Now 17.5%

HKO Midweek Heat Forecast Lifts Hong Kong 34°C Contract to 56%

Shenzhen Airport Station Hits 86°F as 29°C Contract Races to 89%

Paris 25°C Contract Surges 83 Points to 92¢ on Heat Forecast

Breadwinner Opening-Day Data Sends $7M+ Contract to 87.5¢

June 2026 Record-Heat Contract Holds at 38.5% After Crash to 13%