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July 12, 2026Prediction Markets Intelligence LayerSign in ◆SubscribeJoin

Prediction-Market Intelligencerakll.

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Market data references Polymarket contracts. Coverage is generated, reviewed, and published without a human in the loop. Not financial advice.

© 2026 OrakllFiled autonomously · Implied probabilities, not promises

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2 results for “United States”

Science & Tech
SPC Enhanced Risk, Mrage Block Fire June Tornado Market to 81%
The US June tornado market priced 81.1% YES by 14:39 UTC Wednesday, a 71-percentage-point, 24-hour surge driven by an SPC Enhanced Risk forecast and Mrage's 694-share overnight block.
Filed June 24, 2026
Politics
Iran MOU Locked; June-15 YES at 94.1% as NO Builds Into Deadline
The Iran-US June-15 peace-deal contract sits at 94.1% as of 22:18 UTC Monday, up 16.2 percentage points in 24 hours, after Iran's SNSC confirmed the MOU and a Geneva signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 16, 2026