Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
June 22, 2026 · $6.6M volume
Why it resolved
Trump-Iran memorandum of understanding committing US withdrawal of forces from Iran's region within 30 days of a final deal was signed and announced June 18, 2026. The market front-ran the announcement, jumping +31pp on June 15 (36¢→68¢) and +27pp on June 16 (25¢→52¢), suggesting informed flow anticipated the deal 2-3 days before the official signing.
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Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
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Was the price honest
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