Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
June 1, 2026 · $79k volume
Why it resolved
Russia claimed capture of Borova on May 16, 2026 (spiking the price +48pp to 78¢ at 09:00 UTC on May 17), but ISW analysis and geolocated footage refuted the claim within hours — Ukrainian forces controlled the area despite being 10km from the front. The price collapsed -31pp by 17:00 UTC the same day as the dispute became clear. The market ultimately resolved NO on June 1 as Russia never established actual control over Borova by the May 31 deadline.
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Was the price honest
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