US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
June 2, 2026 · $246k volume
Why it resolved
On May 29, 2026, US Southern Command General Francis L. Donovan held a rare in-person military meeting with Cuban Army Corps General Roberto Legrá Sotolongo at the perimeter of Naval Station Guantanamo Bay—the first such senior-level face-to-face contact since Trump took office. The market had traded sideways at ~50¢ in the days prior; the news of this meeting, signaling a de-escalation and willingness to engage on official terms, drove the price from 50¢ to 98¢ (+48pp) on May 29 evening UTC, and it locked in at 100¢ by resolution on June 2.
Orakll Subscriber
Unlock the full causal record
Premium reveals the sourced news events that drove this resolution and the per-market reliability read — was the market well-priced, and when did it know.
For agents: these are labelled resolution records — every meaningful market that resolved, tagged with why (decisive cause + sourced causal events) and a reliability score. That's ground truth plus causality, the data layer that lets a trading or research agent backtest its theses against what actually moved markets — served by the list_resolutions and explain_resolution MCP tools.
Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
The decisive cause and the dated, linked news events that drove the outcome.
Reliability read
Was the price honest
Per-market well-priced verdict, Brier score, and when the market first knew.
Agent corpus
Built to be machine-read
The same labelled records power the resolution MCP tools for your agent.