Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
June 1, 2026 · $752k volume
Why it resolved
Despite mounting controversies—including the April 3 firing of Army Chief Randy George, Signal messaging security breaches, and intense bipartisan congressional questioning on April 29 over the Iran war costs and personnel purges—Hegseth remained in office through May 31, 2026. The market had priced in removal risk at 28¢ on opening but collapsed to 7¢ by April 28 as political pressure failed to materialize into formal resignation or removal proceedings. By May 31 the contract had bled to 0¢ as the deadline passed without any departure.
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Was the price honest
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