US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
June 1, 2026 · $61k volume
Why it resolved
Pentagon officials, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, explicitly denied the existence of a US kamikaze dolphin program in early May 2026. Gen. Dan Caine dismissed the claim outright, comparing it to fiction; Hegseth stated 'I can't confirm or deny whether we have kamikaze dolphins, but I can confirm they don't.' With no official confirmation forthcoming and the May 31 deadline approaching, the market decayed from ~4¢ to 0¢ as the non-occurrence became certain.
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Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
The decisive cause and the dated, linked news events that drove the outcome.
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Was the price honest
Per-market well-priced verdict, Brier score, and when the market first knew.
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