Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
June 24, 2026 · $176k volume
Why it resolved
Claire Valdez won the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, with 58% of the vote, defeating Antonio Reynoso (33%), Julie Won (7%), and Vichal Kumar (<2%). The market had run from 83¢ to 100¢ (settling at final price 1.0) on June 24, 05:00 UTC as results were finalized and announced—a clean reaction to the YES outcome becoming certain. The race was decided primarily by Mayor Zohran Mamdani's early (Jan 9, 2026) endorsement of Valdez, which established her as the frontrunner in a competitive field against Reynoso, who had backing from outgoing Rep. Nydia Velázquez.
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Was the price honest
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