Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
June 21, 2026 · $270k volume
Why it resolved
JD Vance held a direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials (Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi) on June 21, 2026 at Bürgenstock, Switzerland, lasting ~80 minutes. The market anticipated this outcome and front-ran it: the price jumped from 30¢ to 94¢ (+64pp) on June 20-21 UTC as news of the imminent meeting broke and Vance's arrival was confirmed—the market had already largely priced in the YES by the time the meeting occurred on June 21.
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