US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
June 19, 2026 · $494k volume
Why it resolved
Trump announced an imminent in-person signing on June 13, but Iranian officials contradicted him, confirming instead that any deal would be virtual or geographically separated. The -24pp crash on June 13 (42¢→18¢) reflected this collapse of expectations for a face-to-face meeting. Subsequent price rallies on June 15-16 came as the deal progressed, but all signings remained either virtual (June 15) or one-sided in-person (Trump at Versailles, Iran remote on June 17), never materializing into the required in-person diplomatic meeting—the market anticipated no qualified meeting would occur by June 18 and settled at 0¢.
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