Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
June 24, 2026 · $332k volume
Why it resolved
Darializa Avila Chevalier defeated incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat in the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, 2026; the AP called the race around 05:01 UTC on June 24. The market collapsed from 67¢ to 0¢ at 06:00 UTC—a direct reaction to the confirmed outcome.
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Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
The decisive cause and the dated, linked news events that drove the outcome.
Reliability read
Was the price honest
Per-market well-priced verdict, Brier score, and when the market first knew.
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