Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
June 1, 2026 · $479k volume
Why it resolved
Ruben Rocha Moya took temporary leave after US indictment (unsealed April 29, announced May 1), but the market resolved NO because temporary leave does not constitute permanent removal from office. The market initially spiked to 95¢ on May 2 when the announcement broke, but crashed back to 21¢ by May 3 as traders recognized 'temporary leave' meant Rocha retained his formal title and position, failing to meet the market's YES resolution criteria.
Orakll Subscriber
Unlock the full causal record
Premium reveals the sourced news events that drove this resolution and the per-market reliability read — was the market well-priced, and when did it know.
For agents: these are labelled resolution records — every meaningful market that resolved, tagged with why (decisive cause + sourced causal events) and a reliability score. That's ground truth plus causality, the data layer that lets a trading or research agent backtest its theses against what actually moved markets — served by the list_resolutions and explain_resolution MCP tools.
Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
The decisive cause and the dated, linked news events that drove the outcome.
Reliability read
Was the price honest
Per-market well-priced verdict, Brier score, and when the market first knew.
Agent corpus
Built to be machine-read
The same labelled records power the resolution MCP tools for your agent.