US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
June 20, 2026 · $2.3M volume
Why it resolved
US-Iran framework agreement announced June 14 sparked a 60pp surge (14¢→74¢) as traders anticipated an imminent in-person diplomatic signing. However, the June 18 signing was conducted remotely—Trump signed in Paris, Pezeshkian signed remotely—failing to meet the market's 'in-person' requirement. The market crashed -68pp cumulatively (84¢→27¢) on June 18 as traders repriced the realization that no qualifying meeting would occur, and the contract bled toward 0¢ into the June 19 deadline.
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