Netanyahu out by May 31?
June 1, 2026 · $821k volume
Why it resolved
Netanyahu announced early-stage prostate cancer treatment on April 24, 2026, which he had kept secret during the Iran war. The market had already priced in concern about his health and political continuity; the announcement itself confirmed he had recovered and successfully completed treatment. The sharp 22pp collapse from 26¢ to 4¢ on April 28 reflected the market's assessment that despite the health revelation and his ongoing corruption trial testimony resuming that day, Netanyahu remained politically secure and would stay in office through May 31—he never announced resignation and continued performing official duties through the deadline.
Orakll Subscriber
Unlock the full causal record
Premium reveals the sourced news events that drove this resolution and the per-market reliability read — was the market well-priced, and when did it know.
For agents: these are labelled resolution records — every meaningful market that resolved, tagged with why (decisive cause + sourced causal events) and a reliability score. That's ground truth plus causality, the data layer that lets a trading or research agent backtest its theses against what actually moved markets — served by the list_resolutions and explain_resolution MCP tools.
Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
The decisive cause and the dated, linked news events that drove the outcome.
Reliability read
Was the price honest
Per-market well-priced verdict, Brier score, and when the market first knew.
Agent corpus
Built to be machine-read
The same labelled records power the resolution MCP tools for your agent.