US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
June 18, 2026 · $8.7M volume
Why it resolved
On June 14, Trump announced a U.S.-Iran deal opening the Strait of Hormuz and terminating military operations — a breakthrough agreement but not an explicitly announced ceasefire EXTENSION per the resolution criteria. The market spiked from 3¢ to 26¢ at 05:00 UTC on optimism, then fell sharply to 9¢ by 07:00 UTC as traders recognized the announcement didn't constitute the narrow 'extension' requirement, eventually settling at 0¢ on June 18 when the deadline passed without a qualifying extension announcement.
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Was the price honest
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