Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
June 24, 2026 · $706k volume
Why it resolved
Daniel Quintero withdrew from Colombia's 2026 presidential race on October 15, 2025; the market repriced this critical signal within days, collapsing from 13¢ to 0¢ by October 22 as his candidacy became unviable. He later ran as an independent in May 2026 but received only 0.05% of the vote, finishing far behind the two runoff candidates.
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Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
The decisive cause and the dated, linked news events that drove the outcome.
Reliability read
Was the price honest
Per-market well-priced verdict, Brier score, and when the market first knew.
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