US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
June 18, 2026 · $409k volume
Why it resolved
Vice President Vance and President Trump digitally signed a US-Iran MoU on June 15, 2026, causing the market to spike from 14¢ to 28¢ (+13pp) on June 15 at 15:00 UTC, then to 58¢ on June 16 at 06:00 UTC (+44pp from the overnight low). However, the resolution criterion required an in-person diplomatic meeting, not digital signatures. Traders realized by June 16 07:00 UTC that the scheduled in-person signing ceremony was not until June 19—after the June 17 deadline—so the contract had no path to YES and collapsed -40pp to 18¢, ultimately settling at 0¢ as the deadline passed with no qualifying in-person meeting.
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