Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
June 26, 2026 · $247k volume
Why it resolved
On June 17, 2026, California Secretary of State Shirley N. Weber announced that the One-Time Wealth Tax initiative had qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot with 980,438 valid signatures, triggering the market to jump from 32¢ to 71¢ (+38pp). The final +24pp surge to 100¢ on June 26 came as the June 25 deadline passed without withdrawal—the measure was definitively certified for the ballot, resolving YES.
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Causal record
Why it resolved, with sources
The decisive cause and the dated, linked news events that drove the outcome.
Reliability read
Was the price honest
Per-market well-priced verdict, Brier score, and when the market first knew.
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